UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 10-Q

 

(Mark One)

 

x

 

Quarterly Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

 

 

 

 

For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2008

 

 

 

or

 

 

 

 

 

o

 

Transition Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

 

 

 

 

For the transition period from                      to                         

 

 

 

 

 

Commission File Number:     001-09463

 

 

 

RLI Corp.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

ILLINOIS

 

37-0889946

(State or other jurisdiction of

 

(I.R.S. Employer

incorporation or organization)

 

Identification Number)

 

 

 

9025 North Lindbergh Drive, Peoria, IL

 

61615

(Address of principal executive offices)

 

(Zip Code)

 

(309) 692-1000

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports) and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.                                    Yes  x     No o

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer or a smaller reporting company.  See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

 

Large accelerated filer

 

x

 

Accelerated filer

 

o

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Non-accelerated filer

 

o

 

Smaller reporting company

 

o

(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)

 

 

 

 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).      Yes  o     No x

 

APPLICABLE ONLY TO CORPORATE ISSUERS:

 

As of October 15, 2008 the number of shares outstanding of the registrant’s Common Stock was 21,414,266.

 

 

 



 

PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION

 

Item 1. Financial Statements

 

RLI Corp. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings and Comprehensive Earnings

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

For the Three-Month Period
Ended September  30,

 

(in thousands, except per share data)

 

2008

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net premiums earned

 

$

130,850

 

$

134,111

 

Net investment income

 

19,844

 

20,433

 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

 

(24,212

)

3,822

 

 

 

126,482

 

158,366

 

Losses and settlement expenses

 

66,013

 

16,977

 

Policy acquisition costs

 

41,424

 

38,685

 

Insurance operating expenses

 

8,216

 

12,082

 

Interest expense on debt

 

1,646

 

1,913

 

General corporate expenses

 

1,735

 

3,401

 

 

 

119,034

 

73,058

 

Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees

 

248

 

2,047

 

Earnings before income taxes

 

7,696

 

87,355

 

Income tax expense (benefit)

 

(890

)

25,816

 

Net earnings

 

$

8,586

 

$

61,539

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other comprehensive earnings (loss), net of tax

 

(24,109

)

9,861

 

Comprehensive earnings (loss)

 

$

(15,523

)

$

71,400

 

Income taxes-deferred

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings per share:

 

 

 

 

 

Basic:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic net earnings per share

 

$

0.40

 

$

2.61

 

Basic comprehensive earnings (loss) per share

 

$

(0.73

)

$

3.03

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted net earnings per share

 

$

0.40

 

$

2.56

 

Diluted comprehensive earnings (loss) per share

 

$

(0.72

)

$

2.97

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average number of common shares outstanding

 

 

 

 

 

Basic

 

21,342

 

23,541

 

Diluted

 

21,678

 

24,029

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash dividends declared per common share

 

$

0.25

 

$

0.22

 

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the unaudited interim financial statements.

 

2



 

RLI Corp. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings and Comprehensive Earnings

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

For the Nine-Month Period

 

 

 

Ended September 30,

 

(in thousands, except per share data)

 

2008

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net premiums earned

 

$

399,110

 

$

409,576

 

Net investment income

 

58,707

 

58,500

 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

 

(12,396

)

23,414

 

 

 

445,421

 

491,490

 

Losses and settlement expenses

 

190,043

 

131,609

 

Policy acquisition costs

 

121,721

 

115,276

 

Insurance operating expenses

 

28,346

 

31,626

 

Interest expense on debt

 

5,191

 

4,968

 

General corporate expenses

 

5,759

 

7,441

 

 

 

351,060

 

290,920

 

Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investees

 

6,417

 

7,770

 

Earnings before income taxes

 

100,778

 

208,340

 

Income tax expense

 

28,083

 

64,431

 

Net earnings

 

$

72,695

 

$

143,909

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other comprehensive loss, net of tax

 

(68,274

)

(4,491

)

Comprehensive earnings

 

$

4,421

 

$

139,418

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings per share:

 

 

 

 

 

Basic:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic net earnings per share

 

$

3.37

 

$

6.03

 

Basic comprehensive earnings per share

 

$

0.20

 

$

5.84

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted net earnings per share

 

$

3.32

 

$

5.91

 

Diluted comprehensive earnings per share

 

$

0.20

 

$

5.72

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average number of common shares outstanding

 

 

 

 

 

Basic

 

21,574

 

23,861

 

Diluted

 

21,893

 

24,367

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash dividends declared per common share

 

$

0.73

 

$

0.64

 

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the unaudited interim financial statements.

 

3



 

RLI Corp. and Subsidiaries Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

 

 

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

(in thousands, except share data)

 

2008

 

2007

 

 

 

(unaudited)

 

 

 

ASSETS

 

 

 

 

 

Investments

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income

 

 

 

 

 

Available-for-sale, at fair value

 

$

1,284,601

 

$

1,283,305

 

Held-to-maturity, at amortized cost

 

41,515

 

73,648

 

Trading, at fair value

 

12,867

 

15,413

 

Equity securities, at fair value

 

334,634

 

359,513

 

Preferred stock, at fair value

 

16,749

 

34,167

 

Short-term investments, at cost

 

68,669

 

73,731

 

Total investments

 

1,759,035

 

1,839,777

 

Accrued investment income

 

18,107

 

18,296

 

Premiums and reinsurance balances receivable

 

93,795

 

105,937

 

Ceded unearned premium

 

64,522

 

71,021

 

Reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses

 

374,279

 

417,250

 

Deferred policy acquisition costs

 

82,546

 

78,882

 

Property and equipment

 

21,947

 

20,050

 

Income taxes-deferred

 

10,225

 

 

Investment in unconsolidated investees

 

40,558

 

38,162

 

Goodwill

 

26,214

 

26,214

 

Other assets

 

16,299

 

10,934

 

TOTAL ASSETS

 

$

2,507,527

 

$

2,626,523

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities:

 

 

 

 

 

Unpaid losses and settlement expenses

 

$

1,190,507

 

$

1,192,178

 

Unearned premiums

 

344,425

 

355,522

 

Reinsurance balances payable

 

29,209

 

38,273

 

Notes payable, short-term debt

 

 

27,975

 

Income taxes-deferred

 

 

25,042

 

Bonds payable, long-term debt

 

100,000

 

100,000

 

Accrued expenses

 

32,371

 

39,303

 

Other liabilities

 

92,157

 

73,808

 

TOTAL LIABILITIES

 

$

1,788,669

 

$

1,852,101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ Equity

 

 

 

 

 

Common stock ($1 par value)

 

 

 

 

 

(32,045,922 shares issued at 9/30/08)

 

 

 

 

 

(31,869,596 shares issued at 12/31/07)

 

32,046

 

31,870

 

Paid-in capital

 

195,853

 

192,446

 

Accumulated other comprehensive earnings

 

27,427

 

95,701

 

Retained earnings

 

806,799

 

749,767

 

Deferred compensation

 

8,093

 

7,980

 

Less: Treasury shares at cost

 

 

 

 

 

(10,631,656 shares at 9/30/08)

 

(351,360

)

(303,342

)

(9,714,456 shares at 12/31/07)

 

 

 

 

 

TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

 

718,858

 

774,422

 

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

 

$

2,507,527

 

$

2,626,523

 

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the unaudited interim financial statements.

 

4



 

RLI Corp. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(Unaudited)

 

 

 

For the Nine-Month Period

 

 

 

Ended September 30,

 

(in thousands)

 

2008

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net cash provided by operating activities

 

$

126,732

 

$

111,228

 

Cash Flows from Investing Activities

 

 

 

 

 

Investments purchased

 

(496,511

)

(324,898

)

Investments sold

 

141,378

 

133,940

 

Investments called or matured

 

306,973

 

91,365

 

Net change in short-term investments

 

13,762

 

2,218

 

Changes in notes receivable

 

 

9,500

 

Net property and equipment purchased

 

(4,632

)

(510

)

Net cash used in investing activities

 

$

(39,030

)

$

(88,385

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash Flows from Financing Activities

 

 

 

 

 

Cash dividends paid

 

$

(15,406

)

$

(14,876

)

Payment on short-term debt

 

(81,992

)

 

Proceeds from issuance of short-term debt

 

54,017

 

52,644

 

Stock option plan share issuance

 

(79

)

2,141

 

Excess tax benefit from exercise of stock options

 

3,663

 

1,931

 

Treasury shares purchased

 

(47,905

)

(64,683

)

Net cash used in financing activities

 

$

(87,702

)

$

(22,843

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net increase in cash

 

 

 

Cash at the beginning of the year

 

 

 

Cash at September 30

 

$

 

$

 

 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of the unaudited interim financial statements.

 

5



 

NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

 

1.                            SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES

 

A.         BASIS OF PRESENTATION

 

The unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) for interim financial reporting and with the instructions to Form 10-Q and Regulation S-X.  Accordingly, they do not include all of the disclosures required by GAAP for complete financial statements.  As such, these unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements should be read in conjunction with our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K.  Management believes that the disclosures are adequate to make the information presented not misleading, and all normal and recurring adjustments necessary to present fairly the financial position at September 30, 2008 and the results of operations of RLI Corp. and Subsidiaries for all periods presented have been made.  The results of operations for any interim period are not necessarily indicative of the operating results for a full year.

 

The preparation of the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements requires management to make estimates and assumptions relating to the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements, and the reported amounts of revenue and expenses during the period.  These estimates are inherently subject to change and actual results could differ from these estimates.

 

B.           ADOPTED ACCOUNTING STANDARDS

 

SFAS No. 157, Fair Value Measurements (SFAS 157)

 

On January 1, 2008, we partially adopted Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements.”  As allowed under Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) Staff Position (FSP) FAS 157-2, we have elected not to fully adopt SFAS 157 at this time and are deferring adoption for certain nonfinancial assets and liabilities until January 1, 2009.  SFAS 157 establishes a single authoritative definition of fair value, sets out a framework for measuring fair value, and provides a hierarchical disclosure framework for assets and liabilities measured at fair value.  The pronouncement describes fair value as being based on a hypothetical transaction to sell an asset or transfer a liability at a specific measurement date (an exit price), as considered from the perspective of a market participant who holds the asset or owes the liability. In addition, fair value should be viewed as a market-based measurement, not an entity-specific measurement. Therefore, fair value should be determined based on the assumptions that market participants would use in pricing an asset or liability, including all risks associated with that asset or liability, such as credit or liquidity risk. SFAS 157 became effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007.  The partial adoption of SFAS 157 had no impact on our financial position or results of operations.

 

6



 

FSP FAS 157-2, Effective Date of FASB Statement No. 157

 

FASB Staff Position (FSP)FAS 157-2 delays the effective date of FAS 157, Fair Value Measurements, to fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2008 for nonfinancial assets and nonfinancial liabilities, except for items that are recognized or disclosed at fair value in the financial statements on a recurring basis.  The delay is intended to allow the Board and constituents additional time to consider the effect of various implementation issues that have arisen, or that may arise, from the application of FAS 157.  Partial deferral of FAS 157 would apply to our goodwill.

 

FSP FAS 157-3, Determining the Fair Value of a Financial Asset when the Market for that Asset is not Active

 

FSP FAS 157-3 became effective on October 10, 2008 and clarifies the application of FASB Statement No. 157, Fair Value Measurements, in a market that is not active and provides an example to illustrate key considerations in determining the fair value of a financial asset when the market for that financial asset is not active.  In situations in which there is little, if any, market activity for an asset at the measurement date, the fair value measurement objective remains the same, that is, the price that would be received by the holder of the financial asset in an orderly transaction that is not a forced liquidation or distressed sale.  Determining the fair value of a financial asset in an illiquid market depends on the facts and circumstances and may require the use of significant judgments for certain Level 2 and all Level 3 financial assets where market activity is not readily available.  As of September 30, 2008, we did not have any Level 3 financial assets which would require the use of significant judgments in the determination of fair value.

 

SFAS No. 159, The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities (SFAS 159)

 

On January 1, 2008, we adopted SFAS No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities.” The Statement permits entities to choose to measure many financial instruments and certain other items at fair value.  The objective is to improve financial reporting by providing entities with the opportunity to mitigate volatility in reported earnings caused by measuring related assets and liabilities differently without having to apply complex hedge accounting provisions.  This Statement is expected to expand the use of fair value measurement, which is consistent with the Board’s long-term measurement objectives for accounting for financial instruments.  SFAS 159 became effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007.  We have elected not to implement the fair value option with respect to any existing assets or liabilities; therefore, the adoption of SFAS 159 had no impact on our financial position or results of operations.

 

C.             STATE REGULATION

 

The Florida Supreme Court recently issued a case ruling with the effect that surplus lines insurance is subject to the same regulation as admitted insurance in Florida, excluding rate regulation.  Although not stated expressly in the ruling, it implies that surplus lines policy forms must be filed and approved by the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation (FOIR).  In response, the FOIR has publicly stated that it disagrees with the ruling and

 

7



 

its foundations and that the FOIR does not now nor has it ever required surplus lines insurers to comply with such form filing requirements.  Although the status of this situation is uncertain and at this stage we cannot predict how this matter will be resolved, we believe it will not result in material negative consequences for the Company.

 

D.            INTANGIBLE ASSETS

 

In accordance with SFAS 142, “Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets,” the amortization of goodwill and indefinite-lived intangible assets is not permitted.  Goodwill and indefinite-lived intangible assets remain on the balance sheet and are tested for impairment on an annual basis, or earlier if there is reason to suspect that their values may have been diminished or impaired.  Goodwill, which relates to our surety segment, is listed separately on the balance sheet and totaled $26.2 million at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007.  Annual impairment testing was performed during the second quarter of 2008, pursuant to the requirements of SFAS 142.  Based upon this review, this asset was not impaired.  As of September 30, 2008, there are no indications of impairment.

 

Intangible assets with definite lives continue to be amortized over their estimated useful lives.  Definite-lived intangible assets that were amortized under SFAS 142 during the periods presented relate to our purchase of customer-related and marketing-related intangibles.  These intangibles had useful lives ranging from five to 10 years. Amortization of intangible assets was $0.1 million for the first nine months of 2007. There is no amortization expense in 2008 as these assets were fully amortized in 2007.

 

E.              EARNINGS PER SHARE

 

Basic earnings per share (EPS) excludes dilution and is computed by dividing income available to common shareholders by the weighted-average number of common shares outstanding for the period. Diluted EPS reflects the dilution that could occur if securities or other contracts to issue common stock or common stock equivalents were exercised or converted into common stock. When inclusion of common stock equivalents increases the earnings per share or reduces the loss per share, the effect on earnings is anti-dilutive. Under these circumstances, the diluted net earnings or net loss per share is computed excluding the common stock equivalents.

 

Pursuant to disclosure requirements contained in SFAS 128,”Earnings Per Share,” the following represents a reconciliation of the numerator and denominator of the basic and diluted EPS computations contained in the condensed consolidated financial statements.

 

8



 

 

 

For the Three-Month Period

 

For the Three-Month Period

 

 

 

Ended September 30, 2008

 

Ended September 30, 2007

 

(in thousands, except

 

Income

 

Shares

 

Per Share

 

Income

 

Shares

 

Per Share

 

per share data)

 

(Numerator)

 

(Denominator)

 

Amount

 

(Numerator)

 

(Denominator)

 

Amount

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic EPS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income available to common shareholders

 

$

8,586

 

21,342

 

$

0.40

 

$

61,539

 

23,541

 

$

2.61

 

Effect of Dilutive Securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stock Options

 

 

336

 

 

 

 

488

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted EPS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income available to common shareholders

 

$

8,586

 

21,678

 

$

0.40

 

$

61,539

 

24,029

 

$

2.56

 

 

 

 

For the Nine-Month Period

 

For the Nine-Month Period

 

 

 

Ended September 30, 2008

 

Ended September 30, 2007

 

(in thousands, except

 

Income

 

Shares

 

Per Share

 

Income

 

Shares

 

Per Share

 

per share data)

 

(Numerator)

 

(Denominator)

 

Amount

 

(Numerator)

 

(Denominator)

 

Amount

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic EPS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income available to common shareholders

 

$

72,695

 

21,574

 

$

3.37

 

$

143,909

 

23,861

 

$

6.03

 

Effect of Dilutive Securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stock Options

 

 

319

 

 

 

 

506

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted EPS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income available to common shareholders

 

$

72,695

 

21,893

 

$

3.32

 

$

143,909

 

24,367

 

$

5.91

 

 

2.  INVESTMENTS

 

Our investments include fixed income debt securities, common stock equity securities and preferred stock equity securities.  As disclosed in our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K, we present our investments in the above classes as either available-for-sale, held-to-maturity, or trading securities.  When available, we obtain quoted market prices to determine fair value for our investments.  If a quoted market price is not available, fair value is estimated using a secondary pricing source or using quoted market prices of similar securities. We have no investment securities for which fair value is determined using Level 3 inputs as defined by FAS 157.

 

We continuously monitor the values of our investments in fixed income securities and equity securities for other-than-temporary impairment.  If this review suggests that a decline in fair value is other-than-temporary based upon many factors including the duration or significance of the unrealized loss, our carrying value in the investment is reduced to its fair value through an adjustment to earnings.

 

9



 

The following tables are used as part of our impairment analysis and illustrate the total value of securities that were in an unrealized loss position as of September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007. They segregate the securities based on type, noting the fair value, cost (or amortized cost), and unrealized loss on each category of investment as well as in total. The tables further classify the securities based on the length of time they have been in an unrealized loss position.  As of September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, unrealized losses, as shown in the following tables, were 3% and 1%, respectively, of total invested assets.  Unrealized losses have increased in 2008, reflective of recent market volatility.

 

10



 

Investment Positions with Unrealized Losses

Segmented by Type and Period of Continuous

Unrealized Loss at September 30, 2008

 

(dollars in thousands)

 

0-12 Mos.

 

> 12 Mos.

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S Government

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

 

 

 

Unrealized Loss

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S Agency

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

156,505

 

$

 

$

156,505

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

157,919

 

 

157,919

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(1,414

)

 

(1,414

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mtge/ABS/CMO *

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

83,019

 

$

38,141

 

$

121,160

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

85,960

 

40,394

 

126,354

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(2,941

)

(2,253

)

(5,194

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

170,824

 

$

35,875

 

$

206,699

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

184,775

 

42,716

 

227,491

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(13,951

)

(6,841

)

(20,792

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

States, political subdivisions & revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

232,847

 

$

12,793

 

$

245,640

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

242,284

 

13,993

 

256,277

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(9,437

)

(1,200

)

(10,637

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subtotal, debt securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

643,195

 

$

86,809

 

$

730,004

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

670,938

 

97,103

 

768,041

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(27,743

)

(10,294

)

(38,037

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Common Stock

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

76,072

 

$

60,478

 

$

136,550

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

86,872

 

71,395

 

158,267

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(10,800

)

(10,917

)

(21,717

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred Stock

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

1,060

 

$

 

$

1,060

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

1,060

 

 

1,060

 

Unrealized Loss

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

720,327

 

$

147,287

 

$

867,614

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

758,870

 

168,498

 

927,368

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(38,543

)

(21,211

)

(59,754

)

 


* Mortgage-backed, asset-backed & collateralized mortgage obligations.

 

11



 

Investment Positions with Unrealized Losses

Segmented by Type and Period of Continuous

Unrealized Loss at December 31, 2007

 

(dollars in thousands)

 

0-12 Mos.

 

> 12 Mos.

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S Government

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

204

 

$

 

$

204

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

204

 

 

204

 

Unrealized Loss

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S Agency

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

 

$

70

 

$

70

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

 

70

 

70

 

Unrealized Loss

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mtge/ABS/CMO *

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

8,753

 

$

89,604

 

$

98,357

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

8,871

 

91,112

 

99,983

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(118

)

(1,508

)

(1,626

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

54,912

 

$

65,971

 

$

120,883

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

56,329

 

68,356

 

124,685

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(1,417

)

(2,385

)

(3,802

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

States, political subdivisions & revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

42,218

 

$

46,605

 

$

88,823

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

42,472

 

46,738

 

89,210

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(254

)

(133

)

(387

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subtotal, debt securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

106,087

 

$

202,250

 

$

308,337

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

107,876

 

206,276

 

314,152

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(1,789

)

(4,026

)

(5,815

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Common Stock

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

56,808

 

$

 

$

56,808

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

64,604

 

 

64,604

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(7,796

)

 

(7,796

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred Stock

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

29,436

 

$

 

$

29,436

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

34,495

 

 

34,495

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(5,059

)

 

(5,059

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value

 

$

192,331

 

$

202,250

 

$

394,581

 

Cost or Amortized Cost

 

206,975

 

206,276

 

413,251

 

Unrealized Loss

 

(14,644

)

(4,026

)

(18,670

)

 


* Mortgage-backed, asset-backed & collateralized mortgage obligations.

 

12



 

The following table shows the composition of the fixed income securities in unrealized loss positions at September 30, 2008 by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) rating and the generally equivalent Standard & Poor’s (S&P) and Moody’s ratings.  Not all of the securities are rated by S&P and/or Moody’s.

 

 

 

Equivalent

 

Equivalent

 

(dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

NAIC

 

S&P

 

Moody’s

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized

 

Percent

 

Rating

 

Rating

 

Rating

 

Book Value

 

Fair Value

 

Loss

 

to Total

 

1

 

AAA/AA/A

 

Aaa/Aa/A

 

$

709,865

 

$

677,161

 

$

(32,704

)

86.0

%

2

 

BBB

 

Baa

 

58,176

 

52,843

 

(5,333

)

14.0

%

3

 

BB

 

Ba

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

4

 

B

 

B

 

 

 

 

0.0

%

5

 

CCC or lower

 

Caa or lower

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

768,041

 

$

730,004

 

$

(38,037

)

100.0

%

 

The fixed income portfolio contained 358 unrealized loss positions as of September 30, 2008. The $38.0 million in associated unrealized losses for these 358 securities is 2.8% of the fixed income portfolio’s cost basis. Of these 358 securities, 40 have been in an unrealized loss position for more than 12 consecutive months and these collectively represent $10.3 million in unrealized losses.  All fixed income securities in the investment portfolio continue to pay the expected coupon payments under the contractual terms of the securities except for $3.6 million in losses related to bonds issued by Lehman Brothers who declared bankruptcy during the third quarter.  As such, other-than-temporary impairment charges of $3.6 million were recorded in the three months ended September 30, 2008 for these bonds.  With respect to those fixed income securities which fall under the provisions of EITF 99-20: Recognition of Interest Income and Impairment on Purchased Beneficial Interests and Beneficial Interests that Continue to be Held by a Transferor in Securitized Financial Assets, all of our securitized financial assets are of a high credit quality and it is not probable that contractual cash flows will not be collected.  On an overall basis and specifically within our commercial mortgage backed and asset backed portfolios, the single worst unrealized position is 18.9% below cost and thus we believe that there are no other-than-temporarily-impaired securities within these asset classes.  The fixed income unrealized losses can primarily be attributed to the current economic conditions and the subsequent impact of credit spreads widening.  We continually monitor the credit quality of our fixed income investments to gauge our ability to be repaid principal and interest. We consider price declines of securities in our other-than-temporary impairment analysis where such price declines provide evidence of declining credit quality, and we distinguish between price changes caused by credit deterioration, as opposed to rising interest rates.

 

Factors that we consider in the evaluation of credit quality include:

 

1.                              Credit ratings from major rating agencies, including Moody’s and S&P,

2.                              Business and operating performance trends,

3.                              Management quality/turnover,

4.                              Industry competitive analysis, and

5.                              Changes in business model/strategy.

 

13



 

As of September 30, 2008, we held 32 common stock positions that were in unrealized loss positions. Unrealized losses on these securities totaled $21.7 million. Of the 32 common stock positions that were in an unrealized loss position, 4 have been in an unrealized loss position for more than 12 consecutive months and these collectively represent $10.9 million in unrealized losses.  We specifically review equity securities with unrealized losses greater than 12 months in duration as to the financial condition and future prospects of the issuers and the price volatility of the equity securities themselves.  At September 30, 2008, the four positions in unrealized losses for greater than 12 months essentially relate to exchange traded mutual funds that are based on general market indices or backed by municipal bonds and thus have been specifically impacted by the recent market events.  However, we have observed that none of these securities have declined by 20% or more from its cost basis for a continuous period of six months or more. We believe all of these positions have favorable long-term prospects and we believe that all unrealized loss positions will recover to our cost basis in a reasonable period of time.

 

3.  FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS

 

Assets and Liabilities Recorded at Fair Value on a Recurring Basis

 

Effective January 1, 2008, we determined the fair values of certain financial instruments based on the fair value hierarchy established in SFAS 157.  SFAS 157 requires an entity to maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs when measuring fair value.  The standard describes three levels of inputs that may be used to measure fair value.

 

Level 1: quoted price (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets

 

Level 2: inputs to the valuation methodology include quoted prices for similar assets and liabilities in active markets, and inputs that are observable for the asset or liability, either directly or indirectly, for substantially the full term of the instrument

 

Level 3: inputs to the valuation methodology are unobservable for the asset or liability

 

SFAS 157 defines fair value as the exchange price that would be received for an asset or paid to transfer a liability (an exit price) in the principal or most advantageous market for the asset or liability in an orderly transaction between market participants on the measurement date.

 

To measure fair value, we obtain quoted market prices for our investment securities.  If a quoted market price is not available, we use quoted market prices of similar securities.

 

14



 

Assets measured at fair value on a recurring basis are summarized below:

 

($ in 000s)

 

 

 

As of September 30, 2008,

 

 

 

Fair Value Measurements Using

 

 

 

Quoted Prices in

 

Significant Other

 

Significant

 

 

 

 

 

Active Markets for

 

Observable

 

Unobservable

 

 

 

 

 

Identical Assets

 

Inputs

 

Inputs

 

 

 

Description

 

(Level 1)

 

(Level 2)

 

(Level 3)

 

Total

 

Trading securities

 

$

 

$

12,867

 

$

 

$

12,867

 

Available-for-sale securities

 

351,383

 

1,284,601

 

 

1,635,984

 

Total

 

$

351,383

 

$

1,297,468

 

$

 

$

1,648,851

 

 

As noted in the above table, we do not have any assets measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the period.

 

Assets and Liabilities Recorded at Fair Value on a Non-recurring Basis

 

As allowed under FSP FAS 157-2, Effective Date of FASB Statement No. 157, as of January 1, 2008, we have elected not to fully adopt SFAS 157 and are deferring adoption for certain nonfinancial assets and liabilities until January 1, 2009.  On our balance sheet, this deferral would apply to goodwill.

 

4.  STOCK BASED COMPENSATION

 

During 2005, our shareholders approved the RLI Corp. Omnibus Stock Plan (omnibus plan).  The purpose of the omnibus plan is to promote our interests and those of our shareholders by providing our key personnel an opportunity to acquire a proprietary interest in the company and reward them for achieving a high level of corporate performance and to encourage our continued success and growth. Awards under the omnibus plan may be in the form of restricted stock, stock options (both incentive and nonqualified), stock appreciation rights, performance units, as well as other stock based awards. Eligibility under the omnibus plan is limited to our employees or employees of any affiliate and to individuals or entities who are not employees but who provide services to us or an affiliate, including services provided in the capacity of consultant, advisor or director. The granting of awards under the plan is solely at the discretion of the Board of Directors, based on the recommendation of the Executive Resources Committee and the Nominating/Corporate Governance Committee of our Board of Directors. The total number of shares of common stock available for distribution under the omnibus plan may not exceed 1,500,000 shares (subject to adjustment for changes in our capitalization).  Since 2005, we have granted 927,350 stock options under this plan, including 246,250 thus far in 2008.

 

Under the omnibus plan, we grant stock options for shares with an exercise price equal to the fair market value of the shares at the date of grant.  Options generally vest and become exercisable ratably over a five-year period and have a ten-year life. The related compensation expense is recognized over the requisite service period. In most instances, the requisite service period and vesting period will be the same.  For participants who are retirement eligible, defined by the plan as those individuals whose age and years of service equals 75, the requisite service period is deemed to be met and options are immediately expensed on the date of grant.  For participants who will become retirement eligible during the vesting period, the requisite

 

15



 

service period over which expense is recognized is the period between the grant date and the attainment of retirement eligibility.  Shares issued upon option exercise are newly issued shares.

 

The following tables summarize option activity for the periods ended September 30, 2008 and 2007:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted

 

Average

 

Aggregate

 

 

 

Number of

 

Average

 

Remaining

 

Intrinsic

 

 

 

Options

 

Exercise

 

Contractual

 

Value

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

Price

 

Life

 

(in 000’s)

 

Outstanding options at January 1, 2008

 

1,605,252

 

$

36.34

 

 

 

 

 

Options granted

 

246,250

 

$

50.52

 

 

 

 

 

Options exercised

 

(315,351

)

$

21.90

 

 

 

$

12,332

 

Options canceled/forfeited

 

(3,120

)

$

51.42

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding options at September 30, 2008

 

1,533,031

 

$

41.56

 

6.46

 

$

34,279

 

Exercisable options at September 30, 2008

 

972,920

 

$

35.30

 

5.08

 

$

27,845

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted

 

Average

 

Aggregate

 

 

 

Number of

 

Average

 

Remaining

 

Intrinsic

 

 

 

Options

 

Exercise

 

Contractual

 

Value

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

Price

 

Life

 

(in 000’s)

 

Outstanding options at January 1, 2007

 

1,632,019

 

$

31.29

 

 

 

 

 

Options granted

 

216,300

 

$

56.10

 

 

 

 

 

Options exercised

 

(247,124

)

$

22.85

 

 

 

$

8,711

 

Options canceled/forfeited

 

(5,840

)

$

50.98

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding options at September 30, 2007

 

1,595,355

 

$

35.89

 

6.00

 

$

33,232

 

Exercisable options at September 30, 2007

 

1,219,154

 

$

30.41

 

5.02

 

$

32,074

 

 

The majority of our options are granted annually at our regular board meeting in May. Thus far in 2008, 246,250 options were granted with an average exercise price of $50.52 and an average fair value of $12.58.  We recognized $0.7 million of expense in the third quarter of 2008, and $1.9 million in the first nine months of 2008, related to options vesting. Since options granted under our plan are non-qualified, we recorded a tax benefit of $0.2 million in the third quarter of 2008, and $0.6 million in the first nine months of 2008, related to this compensation expense.  Total unrecognized compensation expense relating to outstanding and unvested options was $4.5 million, which will be recognized over the remainder of the vesting period.

 

The fair value of options was estimated using a Black-Scholes based option pricing model with the following weighted average grant-date assumptions and weighted average fair values as of September 30:

 

16



 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

Weighted-average fair value of grants

 

$

12.58

 

$

15.12

 

Risk-free interest rates

 

3.29

%

4.60

%

Dividend yield

 

1.53

%

1.47

%

Expected volatility

 

23.76

%

21.72

%

Expected option life

 

6.34 years

 

6.34 years

 

 

The risk-free rate is determined based on U.S. treasury yields that most closely approximate the option’s expected life.  The dividend yield is calculated based on the average annualized dividends paid during the most recent five-year period.  The expected volatility is calculated by computing the weighted average of the most recent one-year volatility, the most recent volatility based on expected life and the median of the rolling volatilities based on the expected life of RLI stock.  The expected option life is determined based on historical exercise behavior and the assumption that all outstanding options will be exercised at the midpoint of the current date and remaining contractual term, adjusted for the demographics of the current year’s grant.

 

5. OPERATING SEGMENT INFORMATION - Selected information by operating segment is presented in the table below.  Additionally, the table reconciles segment totals to total earnings and total revenues.

 

17



 

SEGMENT DATA (in thousands)

 

 

 

For the Three-Month Period

 

For the Nine-Month Period

 

 

 

Ended September 30,

 

Ended September 30,

 

 

 

REVENUES

 

REVENUES

 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

2008

 

2007

 

Casualty

 

$

76,993

 

$

84,252

 

$

237,559

 

$

260,051

 

Property

 

36,376

 

34,013

 

110,869

 

103,108

 

Surety

 

17,481

 

15,846

 

50,682

 

46,417

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net premiums earned

 

$

130,850

 

$

134,111

 

$

399,110

 

$

409,576

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

19,844

 

20,433

 

58,707

 

58,500

 

Net realized gains (losses)

 

(24,212

)

3,822

 

(12,396

)

23,414

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total consolidated revenue

 

$

126,482

 

$

158,366

 

$

445,421

 

$

491,490

 

 

 

 

NET EARNINGS

 

NET EARNINGS

 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

2008

 

2007

 

Casualty

 

$

18,537

 

$

47,555

 

$

33,446

 

$

91,440

 

Property

 

(11,059

)

8,158

 

10,850

 

20,898

 

Surety

 

7,719

 

10,654

 

14,704

 

18,727

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Underwriting Income

 

$

15,197

 

$

66,367

 

$

59,000

 

$

131,065

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

19,844

 

20,433

 

58,707

 

58,500

 

Net realized gains (losses)

 

(24,212

)

3,822

 

(12,396

)

23,414

 

General corporate expense and interest on debt

 

(3,381

)

(5,314

)

(10,950

)

(12,409

)

Equity in earnings of unconsolidated investee

 

248

 

2,047

 

6,417

 

7,770

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total earnings before income taxes

 

$

7,696

 

$

87,355

 

$

100,778

 

$

208,340

 

Income tax expense (benefit)

 

(890

)

25,816

 

28,083

 

64,431

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total net earnings

 

$

8,586

 

$

61,539

 

$

72,695

 

$

143,909

 

 

18



 

The following table further summarizes revenues (net premiums earned) by major product type within each operating segment:

 

 

 

For the Three-Month Period

 

For the Nine-Month Period

 

 

 

Ended September 30,

 

Ended September 30,

 

(in thousands)

 

2008

 

2007

 

2008

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Casualty

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

General liability

 

$

34,163

 

$

41,364

 

$

107,465

 

$

128,010

 

Commercial and personal umbrella

 

16,335

 

16,566

 

48,771

 

49,894

 

Commercial transportation

 

11,292

 

11,615

 

35,409

 

36,741

 

Specialty program business

 

8,084

 

7,467

 

23,580

 

21,964

 

Executive coverages

 

3,504

 

2,817

 

10,057

 

8,969

 

Other

 

3,615

 

4,423

 

12,277

 

14,473

 

Total

 

$

76,993

 

$

84,252

 

$

237,559

 

$

260,051

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commercial property

 

$

19,967

 

$

22,283

 

$

65,710

 

$

70,583

 

Marine

 

12,928

 

8,758

 

35,468

 

22,364

 

Other property

 

3,481

 

2,972

 

9,691

 

10,161

 

Total

 

$

36,376

 

$

34,013

 

$

110,869

 

$

103,108

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Surety

 

$

17,481

 

$

15,846

 

$

50,682

 

$

46,417

 

Grand Total

 

$

130,850

 

$

134,111

 

$

399,110

 

$

409,576

 

 

A detailed discussion of earnings and results by segment is contained in management’s discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations.

 

6.  SUBSEQUENT EVENT

 

Subsequent to September 30, 2008, the credit and liquidity crisis in the United States and throughout the global financial system has resulted in substantial volatility in the financial markets and the banking system.  These and other economic events have had a significant adverse impact on our investment portfolios.  As a result, our investments have incurred a notable decline in fair value since September 30, 2008.  We have continued to monitor this subsequent event activity and have concluded that our assessment of other-than-temporary impairment as of September 30, 2008 has not changed.

 

ITEM 2.

 

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS.

 

“SAFE HARBOR” STATEMENT UNDER THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995: This discussion and analysis may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 that are not historical facts, and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expected and projected. Various risk factors that could affect future results are listed in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007.

 

19



 

OVERVIEW

 

We underwrite selected property and casualty insurance through major subsidiaries collectively known as RLI Insurance Group (the Group). We conduct operations principally through three insurance companies. RLI Insurance Company, our principal subsidiary, writes multiple lines insurance on an admitted basis in all 50 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico. Mt. Hawley Insurance Company, a subsidiary of RLI Insurance Company, writes surplus lines insurance in all 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and Guam. RLI Indemnity Company, a subsidiary of Mt. Hawley Insurance Company, has authority to write multiple lines of insurance on an admitted basis in 49 states and the District of Columbia. We are an Illinois corporation that was organized in 1965. We have no material foreign operations.

 

As a “niche” company, we offer specialty insurance coverages designed to meet specific insurance needs of targeted insured groups and underwrite particular types of coverage for certain markets that are underserved by the insurance industry, such as our commercial earthquake coverage or oil and gas surety bonds. We also provide types of coverages not generally offered by other companies, such as our stand-alone personal umbrella policy. The excess and surplus market, which unlike the standard admitted market is less regulated and more flexible in terms of policy forms and premium rates, provides an alternative for customers with hard-to-place risks. When we underwrite within the surplus lines market, we are selective in the line of business and type of risks we choose to write. Using our nonadmitted status in this market allows us to tailor terms and conditions to manage these exposures more effectively than our admitted counterparts. Often the development of these specialty insurance coverages is generated through proposals brought to us by an agent or broker seeking coverage for a specific group of clients. Once a proposal is submitted, underwriters determine whether it would be a viable product in keeping with our business objectives.

 

We measure the results of our insurance operations by monitoring certain measures of growth and profitability across three distinct business segments: casualty, property, and surety. Growth is measured in terms of gross premiums written and profitability is analyzed through combined ratios, which are further subdivided into their respective loss and expense components. The combined ratios represent the income or loss generated from our underwriting segments.

 

The foundation of our overall business strategy is to underwrite for profit. This drives our ability to provide shareholder returns in three different ways: the underwriting profit itself, net investment income from our investment portfolio, and long-term appreciation in our equity portfolio.  Our investment strategy is based on preservation of capital as the first priority, with a secondary focus on generating total return.

 

The property and casualty insurance business is cyclical and influenced by many factors, including price competition, economic conditions, natural or man-made disasters (for example, earthquakes, hurricanes, and terrorism), interest rates, state regulations, court decisions and changes in the law. One of the unique and challenging features of the property and casualty insurance business is that coverages must be priced before costs have fully developed, because premiums are charged before claims are incurred. This requires that

 

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liabilities be estimated and recorded in recognition of future loss and settlement obligations. Due to the inherent uncertainty in estimating these liabilities, there can be no assurance that actual liabilities will not be more or less than recorded amounts; if actual liabilities differ from recorded amounts, there will be an adverse or favorable effect on net earnings. In evaluating the objective performance measures previously mentioned, it is important to consider the following individual characteristics of each major insurance segment.

 

The casualty portion of our business consists largely of general liability, transportation, multi-peril program business, commercial umbrella, personal umbrella, executive products and other specialty coverages. In addition, we provide employers’ indemnity and in-home business owners coverage. The casualty business is subject to the risk of estimating losses and related loss reserves because the ultimate settlement of a casualty claim may take several years to fully develop. The casualty segment may also be affected by evolving legislation and court decisions that define the extent of coverage and the amount of compensation due for injuries or losses.

 

Our property segment primarily underwrites commercial fire, earthquake, difference in conditions, marine, facultative reinsurance, and in the state of Hawaii, select personal lines policies. Property insurance results are subject to the variability introduced by perils such as earthquakes, fires and hurricanes. Our major catastrophe exposure is to losses caused by earthquakes, primarily on the West Coast. Our second largest catastrophe exposure is to losses caused by hurricanes to commercial properties throughout the Gulf and East Coasts, as well as to homes we insure in Hawaii. We attempt to limit our net aggregate exposure to a catastrophic event by purchasing reinsurance and through extensive use of computer-assisted modeling techniques. These techniques provide estimates of the concentration of risks exposed to catastrophic events.

 

The surety segment specializes in writing small-to-large commercial and small contract surety coverages, as well as those for the energy (plugging and abandonment of oil wells), petrochemical, and refining industries. We offer miscellaneous and contract surety bonds, including fidelity and court sureties.  Often, our surety coverages involve a statutory requirement for bonds.  While these bonds have maintained a relatively low loss ratio, losses may fluctuate due to adverse economic conditions that may affect the financial viability of an insured. The contract surety marketplace guarantees the construction work of a commercial contractor for a specific project. Generally, losses occur due to adverse economic conditions, inclement weather conditions or the deterioration of a contractor’s financial condition. As such, this line has historically produced marginally higher loss ratios than other surety lines.

 

The insurance marketplace softened over the last several years, meaning that the marketplace became more competitive and prices were falling even as coverage terms became less restrictive. Nevertheless, we believe that our business model is geared to create underwriting income by focusing on sound underwriting discipline. Our primary focus will continue to be on underwriting profitability as opposed to premium growth or market share measurements.

 

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GAAP and non-GAAP Financial Performance Metrics

 

Throughout this quarterly report, we present our operations in the way we believe will be most meaningful, useful, and transparent to anyone using this financial information to evaluate our performance.  In addition to the GAAP presentation of net earnings and certain statutory reporting information, we show certain non-GAAP financial measures that we believe are valuable in managing our business, evaluating our performance, and drawing comparisons to our peers.  These measures include underwriting income, gross premiums written, net premiums written, combined ratios, and net unpaid loss and settlement expenses.

 

Following is a list of non-GAAP measures found throughout this report with their definitions, relationships to GAAP measures, and explanations of their importance to our operations.

 

Underwriting Income

 

Underwriting income or profit represents the pretax profitability of our insurance operations and is derived by subtracting losses and settlement expenses, policy acquisition costs, and insurance operating expenses from net premium earned. Each of these captions is presented in the statements of earnings but not subtotaled. However, this information is available in total and by segment in note 5 to the financial statements, “Operating Segment Information.”  The nearest comparable GAAP measure is earnings before income taxes which, in addition to underwriting income, includes net investment income, net realized gains/losses, general corporate expenses, debt costs, and unconsolidated investee earnings.

 

Gross premiums written

 

While net premiums earned is the related GAAP measure used in the statements of earnings, gross premiums written is the component of net premiums earned that measures insurance business produced before the impact of ceding reinsurance premiums, but without respect to when those premiums will be recognized as actual revenue. We use this measure as an overall gauge of gross business volume in our insurance underwriting operations with some indication of profit potential subject to the levels of our retentions, expenses and loss costs.

 

Net premiums written

 

While net premiums earned is the related GAAP measure used in the statements of earnings, net premiums written is the component of net premiums earned that measures gross premiums written less the cost of ceding reinsurance premiums, but without respect to when those premiums will be recognized as actual revenue. We use this measure as an indication of retained or net business volume in our insurance underwriting operations. It provides some indication of future earnings potential subject to our expenses and loss costs.

 

Combined ratios

 

This ratio is a common insurance industry measure of profitability for any underwriting operation, and is calculated in two components. First, the expense ratio reflects the sum of policy acquisition costs and insurance

 

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operating expenses, divided by net premiums earned. The second component, the loss ratio, is losses and settlement expenses divided by net premiums earned. The sum of the loss and expense ratios is the combined ratio. The difference between the combined ratio and 100 reflects the per-dollar rate of underwriting income or loss. For example, a combined ratio of 85 implies that for every $100 of premium we earn, we record $15 of underwriting income.

 

Net Unpaid Loss and Settlement Expenses

 

Unpaid losses and settlement expenses, as shown in the liabilities section of our balance sheets, represents the total obligations to claimants for both estimates of known claims and estimates for incurred but not reported (IBNR) claims. The related asset item, reinsurance balances recoverable on unpaid losses and settlement expense, is the estimate of known claims and estimates of IBNR that we expect to recover from reinsurers. The net of these two items is generally referred to as net unpaid loss and settlement expenses and is commonly referred to in our disclosures regarding the process of establishing these various estimated amounts.

 

Critical Accounting Policies

 

In preparing the condensed consolidated financial statements, we are required to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the condensed consolidated financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses for the reporting period. Actual results could differ significantly from those estimates.

 

The most critical accounting policies involve significant estimates and include those used in determining the liability for unpaid losses and settlement expenses, investment valuation and other-than-temporary impairment, recoverability of reinsurance balances, deferred policy acquisition costs and deferred taxes.

 

Unpaid Losses and Settlement Expenses

 

Overview

 

Loss and loss adjustment expense (LAE) reserves represent our best estimate of ultimate amounts for losses and related settlement expenses from claims that have been reported but not paid, and those losses that have occurred but have not yet been reported to us. Loss reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability, but instead represent our estimates, generally utilizing individual claim estimates and actuarial expertise and estimation techniques at a given accounting date. The loss reserve estimates are expectations of what ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost upon final resolution.  These estimates are based on facts and circumstances then known to us, review of historical settlement patterns, estimates of trends in claims frequency and severity, projections of loss costs, expected interpretations of legal theories of liability, and many other factors. In establishing reserves, we also take into account estimated recoveries, reinsurance, salvage, and subrogation. The reserves are reviewed regularly by a team of actuaries we employ.

 

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The process of estimating loss reserves involves a high degree of judgment and is subject to a number of variables. These variables can be affected by both internal and external events, such as changes in claims handling procedures, claim personnel, economic inflation, legal trends, and legislative changes, among others. The impact of many of these items on ultimate costs for loss and LAE is difficult to estimate. Loss reserve estimations also differ significantly by coverage due to differences in claim complexity, the volume of claims, the policy limits written, the terms and conditions of the underlying policies, the potential severity of individual claims, the determination of occurrence date for a claim, and reporting lags (the time between the occurrence of the policyholder event and when it is actually reported to the insurer).  Informed judgment is applied throughout the process.  We continually refine our loss reserve estimates as historical loss experience develops and additional claims are reported and settled. We rigorously attempt to consider all significant facts and circumstances known at the time loss reserves are established.

 

Due to inherent uncertainty underlying loss reserve estimates, including but not limited to the future settlement environment, final resolution of the estimated liability may be different from that anticipated at the reporting date. Therefore, actual paid losses in the future may yield a materially different amount than currently reserved – favorable and unfavorable. The amount by which estimated losses differ from those originally reported for a period is known as “development.” Development is unfavorable when the losses ultimately settle for more than the levels at which they were reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reserve increases on unresolved claims. Development is favorable when losses ultimately settle for less than the amount reserved or subsequent estimates indicate a basis for reducing loss reserves on unresolved claims. We reflect favorable or unfavorable developments of loss reserves in the results of operations in the period the estimates are changed.

 

We record two categories of loss and LAE reserves – case-specific reserves and IBNR reserves.

 

Within a reasonable period of time after a claim is reported, our claim department completes an initial investigation and establishes a case reserve. This case-specific reserve is an estimate of the ultimate amount we will have to pay for the claim, including related legal expenses and other costs associated with resolving and settling a particular claim. The estimate reflects all of the current information available regarding the claim, the informed judgment of our professional claim personnel, our reserving practices and experience, and the knowledge of such personnel regarding the nature and value of the specific type of claim. During the life cycle of a particular claim, more information may materialize that causes us to revise the estimate of the ultimate value of the claim either upward or downward. We may determine that it is appropriate to pay portions of the reserve to the claimant or related settlement expenses before final resolution of the claim. The amount of the individual claim reserve will be adjusted accordingly and is based on the most recent information available.

 

We establish IBNR reserves to estimate the amount we will have to pay for claims that have occurred, but have not yet been reported to us; claims that have been reported to us that may ultimately be paid out differently than

 

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expected by our case-specific reserves; and claims that have been paid and closed, but may reopen and require future payment.

 

Our IBNR reserving process involves three steps including an initial IBNR generation process that is prospective in nature; a loss and LAE reserve estimation process that occurs retrospectively; and a subsequent discussion and reconciliation between our prospective and retrospective IBNR estimates which includes changes in our provisions for IBNR where deemed appropriate. These three processes are discussed in more detail in the following sections.

 

LAE represents the cost involved in adjusting and administering losses from policies we issued.  The LAE reserves are frequently separated into two components: allocated and unallocated. Allocated loss adjustment expense (ALAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that can be identified with a specific claim or case. Examples of ALAE would be the hiring of an outside adjuster to investigate a claim or an outside attorney to defend our insured. The claims professional typically estimates this cost separately from the loss component in the case reserve. Unallocated loss adjustment expense (ULAE) reserves represent an estimate of claims settlement expenses that cannot be identified with a specific claim. An example of ULAE would be the cost of an internal claims examiner to manage or investigate a reported claim.

 

All decisions regarding our best estimate of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are made by our Loss Reserve Committee (LRC). The LRC is made up of various members of the management team including the chief executive officer, chief operating officer, chief financial officer, chief actuary, general counsel and other selected executives. We do not use discounting (recognition of the time value of money) in reporting our estimated reserves for losses and settlement expenses. Based on current assumptions used in calculating reserves, we believe that our overall reserve levels at September 30, 2008, make a reasonable provision to meet our future obligations.

 

Initial IBNR Generation Process

 

Initial carried IBNR reserves are determined through a reserve generation process. The intent of this process is to establish an initial total reserve that will provide a reasonable provision for the ultimate value of all unpaid loss and ALAE liabilities. For most casualty and surety products, this process involves the use of an initial loss and ALAE ratio that is applied to the earned premium for a given period. The result is our best initial estimate of the expected amount of ultimate loss and ALAE for the period by product. Paid amounts and case reserves are subtracted from this initial estimate of ultimate loss and ALAE to determine a carried IBNR reserve.

 

For most property products, we use an alternative method of determining an appropriate provision for initial IBNR. Since this segment is characterized by a shorter period of time between claim occurrence and claim settlement, the IBNR reserve is determined by an initial loss percentage applied to the rolling 12 month’s premium earned. No deductions for paid or case reserves are made. This alternative method of determining initial IBNR reacts more quickly to the actual loss emergence and is more appropriate for our property products where final claim resolution occurs quickly.

 

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The initial loss and ALAE ratios that are applied to earned premium are reviewed at least semiannually.  Prospective estimates are made based on historical loss experience adjusted for price change and loss cost inflation. The initial loss and ALAE ratios also reflect some provision for estimation risk.  We consider estimation risk by segment and product line. A segment with greater overall volatility and uncertainty has greater estimation risk. Characteristics of segments and products with higher estimation risk, include those exhibiting, but not limited to, the following characteristics:

 

·     significant changes in underlying policy terms and conditions,

·       a new business,

·       significant exposure growth or turnover,

·       small volume or lacking internal data requiring significant reliance on external data,

·       longer emergence patterns with exposures to latent unforeseen mass tort,

·       high severity and/or low frequency,

·       operational processes undergoing significant change, and/or

·       high sensitivity to significant swings in loss trends or economic change.

 

The historical and prospective loss and ALAE estimates along with the applicable risk factors identified above are the bases for determining our initial and subsequent carried reserves. Adjustments in the initial loss ratio by product and segment are made where necessary and reflect updated assumptions regarding loss experience, loss trends, price changes, and prevailing risk factors. The LRC makes all final decisions regarding changes in the initial loss and ALAE ratios.

 

Loss and LAE Reserve Estimating Process

 

A full analysis of our loss reserves takes place at least semi-annually. The purpose of these analyses is to provide validation of our carried loss reserves.  Estimates of the expected value of the unpaid loss and LAE are derived using actuarial methodologies.  These estimates are then compared to the carried loss reserves to determine the appropriateness of the current reserve balance.

 

The process of estimating ultimate payment for claims and claims expenses begins with the collection and analysis of current and historical claim data. Data on individual reported claims including paid amounts and individual claim adjuster estimates are grouped by common characteristics. There is judgment involved in this grouping. Considerations when grouping data include the volume of the data available, the credibility of the data available, the homogeneity of the risks in each cohort, and both settlement and payment pattern consistency. We use this data to determine historical claim reporting and payment patterns which are used in the analysis of ultimate claim liabilities. For portions of the business without sufficiently large numbers of policies or that have not accumulated sufficient historical statistics, our own data is supplemented with external or industry average data as available and when appropriate. For our executive products and marine business, we utilize external data extensively.

 

In addition to the review of historical claim reporting and payment patterns, we also incorporate an estimate of expected losses relative to premium by year

 

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into the analysis. The expected losses are based on a review of historical loss performance, trends in frequency and severity, and price level changes. The estimation of expected losses is subject to judgment including consideration given to internal and industry data available, growth and policy turnover, changes in policy limits, changes in underlying policy provisions, changes in legal and regulatory interpretations of policy provisions, and changes in reinsurance structure.

 

We use historical development patterns, estimations of the expected loss ratios, and standard actuarial methods to derive an estimate of the ultimate level of loss and LAE payments necessary to settle all the claims occurring as of the end of the evaluation period. Once an estimate of the ultimate level of claim payments has been derived, the amount of paid loss and LAE and case reserve through the evaluation date is subtracted to reveal the resulting level of IBNR.

 

Our reserve processes include multiple standard actuarial methods for determining estimates of IBNR reserves. Other supplementary methodologies are incorporated as deemed necessary. Mass tort and latent liabilities are examples of exposures where supplementary methodologies are used. Each method produces an estimate of ultimate loss by accident year. We review all of these various estimates and the actuaries assign weight to each based on the characteristics of the product being reviewed. The result is a single actuarial point estimate by product by accident year.

 

Our estimates of ultimate loss and LAE reserves are subject to change as additional data emerges. This could occur as a result of change in loss development patterns, a revision in expected loss ratios, the emergence of exceptional loss activity, a change in weightings between actuarial methods, the addition of new actuarial methodologies or new information that merits inclusion, or the emergence of internal variables or external factors that would alter our view.

 

There is uncertainty in the estimates of ultimate losses. Significant risk factors to the reserve estimate include, but are not limited to, unforeseen or unquantifiable changes in:

 

·       loss payment patterns,

·       loss reporting patterns,

·       frequency and severity trends,

·       underlying policy terms and conditions,

·       business or exposure mix,

·       operational or internal process changes affecting timing of recording transactions,

·       regulatory and legal environment, and/or

·       economic environment.

 

Our actuaries engage in discussions with senior management, underwriting, and the claims department on a regular basis to attempt to ascertain any substantial changes in operations or other assumptions that are necessary to consider in the reserving analysis.

 

A considerable degree of judgment in the evaluation of all these factors is involved in the analysis of reserves. The human element in the application of judgment is unavoidable when faced with material uncertainty. Different

 

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experts will choose different assumptions when faced with such uncertainty, based on their individual backgrounds, professional experiences, and areas of focus. Hence, the estimate selected by various qualified experts may differ materially from each other. We consider this uncertainty by examining our historic reserve accuracy.

 

Given the significant impact of the reserve estimates on our financial statements, we subject the reserving process to significant diagnostic testing. We have incorporated data validity checks and balances into our front-end processes. Leading indicators such as actual versus expected emergence and other diagnostics are also incorporated into the reserving processes.

 

Determination of Our Best Estimate

 

Upon completion of our full loss and LAE estimation analysis, the results are discussed with the LRC. As part of this discussion, the analysis supporting an indicated point estimate of the IBNR loss reserve by product is reviewed. The actuaries also present explanations supporting any changes to the underlying assumptions used to calculate the indicated point estimate. Quarterly, we also consider the actual loss emergence as compared to the expected loss emergence derived from the last full loss and LAE analyses. A review of the resulting variance between the indicated reserves and the carried reserves determined from the initial IBNR generation process takes place. After discussion of these analyses and all relevant risk factors, the LRC determines whether the reserve balances require adjustment.

 

As a predominantly excess and surplus lines and specialty insurer servicing niche markets, we believe there are several reasons to carry – on an overall basis – reserves above the actuarial point estimate.  We believe we are subject to above-average variation in estimates and that this variation is not symmetrical around the actuarial point estimate.

 

One reason for the variation is the above-average policyholder turnover and changes in the underlying mix of exposures typical of an excess and surplus lines business. This constant change can cause estimates based on prior experience to be less reliable than estimates for more stable, admitted books of business.  Also, as a niche market writer, there is little industry level information for direct comparisons of current and prior experience and other reserving parameters. These unknowns create greater-than-average variation in the actuarial point estimates.

 

Actuarial methods attempt to quantify future events. Insurance companies are subject to unique exposures that are difficult to foresee at the point coverage is initiated and, often, many years subsequent. Judicial and regulatory bodies involved in interpretation of insurance contracts have increasingly found opportunities to expand coverage beyond that which was intended or contemplated at the time the policy was issued. Many of these policies are issued on an “all risk” and occurrence basis. Aggressive plaintiff attorneys have often sought coverage beyond the insurer’s original intent. Some examples would be the industry’s ongoing asbestos and environmental litigation, court interpretations of exclusionary language on mold and construction defect, and debates over wind versus flood as the cause of loss from major hurricane events.

 

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We believe that because of the inherent variation and the likelihood that there are unforeseen and under-quantified liabilities absent from the actuarial estimate, it is prudent to carry loss reserves above the actuarial point estimate. Most of our variance between the carried reserve and the actuarial point estimate is in the most recent accident years for our casualty segment where the most significant estimation risks reside. These estimation risks are considered when setting the initial loss ratio for the product and segment. In the cases where these risks fail to materialize, favorable loss development will likely occur over subsequent accounting periods. It is also possible that the risks materialize in an amount above that we considered when booking our initial loss reserves. In this case, unfavorable loss development is likely to occur over subsequent accounting periods.

 

Our best estimate of our loss and LAE reserves may change depending on a revision in the actuarial point estimate, the actuary’s certainty in the estimates and processes, and our overall view of the underlying risks.

 

From time to time, we benchmark our reserving policies and procedures and update them by adopting industry best practices where appropriate.

 

Loss reserve estimates are subject to a high degree of variability due to the inherent uncertainty of ultimate settlement values. Periodic adjustments to these estimates will likely occur as the actual loss emergence reveals itself over time.

 

Investment Valuation and Other-Than-Temporary Impairment

 

Throughout each year, we and our investment managers buy and sell securities to maximize overall investment returns in accordance with investment policies established and monitored by our board of directors and executive officers.

 

We classify our investments in debt and equity securities with readily determinable fair values into one of three categories. Held-to-maturity securities are carried at amortized cost. Available-for-sale securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains/losses recorded as a component of comprehensive earnings and shareholders’ equity, net of deferred income taxes. Trading securities are carried at fair value with unrealized gains/losses included in earnings.

 

We regularly evaluate our fixed income and equity securities to determine impairment losses for other-than-temporary declines in the fair value of the investments. Criteria considered during this process for all investments include, but are not limited to: the current fair value as compared to the cost (amortized, in certain cases) of the security, degree and duration of the security’s fair value being below cost, recent events specific to the issuer or industry, current economic conditions, the anticipated speed of cost recovery, and our decisions to hold or divest a security. For fixed income securities, in addition to the above criteria, we also consider credit quality and external credit ratings and recent downgrades.  We consider price declines of securities in our other-than-temporary impairment analysis where such price declines provide evidence of declining credit quality, and we distinguish between price changes caused by credit deterioration, as opposed to rising interest rates.

 

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Factors that we consider in the evaluation of credit quality include:

 

·       credit ratings from major rating agencies, including Moody’s and S&P,

·       business and operating performance trends,

·       management quality/turnover,

·       industry competitive analysis, and

·       changes in business model/strategy.

 

With respect to fixed income securities involving securitized financial assets - primarily asset backed and commercial mortgage backed securities within our portfolio - which fall under the provisions of EITF 99-20: Recognition of Interest Income and Impairment on Purchased Beneficial Interests and Beneficial Interests that Continue to be Held by a Transferor in Securitized Financial Assets, all of our securitized financial assets are of a high credit quality with fair value determined by observable inputs.

 

Part of our evaluation of whether particular securities are other-than-temporarily-impaired involves assessing whether we have both the intent and ability to continue to hold securities in an unrealized loss position until cost recovery. Factors that we consider to evaluate recovery during a reasonable period of time include current market volatility, historical volatility for equity issuers, the duration and significance of the impairment, and analysts’ forecasts for the future prospects of the issuer. Significant changes in these factors could result in a charge to net earnings for impairment losses. Impairment losses result in a reduction of the underlying investment’s cost basis.

 

Recoverability of Reinsurance Balances

 

Ceded unearned premiums and reinsurance balances recoverable on paid and unpaid losses and settlement expenses are reported separately as assets, rather than being netted with the related liabilities, since reinsurance does not relieve us of our liability to policyholders. Such balances are subject to the credit risk associated with the individual reinsurer. Additionally, the same uncertainties associated with estimating unpaid losses and settlement expenses impact the estimates for the ceded portion of such liabilities. We continually monitor the financial condition of our reinsurers. As part of our monitoring efforts, we review their annual financial statements and SEC filings.  We also review insurance industry developments that may impact the financial condition of our reinsurers.  We analyze the credit risk associated with our reinsurance balances recoverable by monitoring the A.M. Best and S&P ratings of our insurers.  In addition, we subject our reinsurance recoverable to detailed recoverability tests, including one based on average default by S&P rating.  Based upon our review and testing, our policy is to charge to earnings, in the form of an allowance, an estimate of unrecoverable amounts from reinsurers.  This allowance is reviewed on an ongoing basis to ensure that the amount makes a reasonable provision for reinsurance balances that we may be unable to recover.  Further discussion of our reinsurance balances recoverable can be found in note 5 to the financial statements included in our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K.

 

Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs

 

We defer commissions, premium taxes, and certain other costs that vary with and are primarily related to the acquisition of insurance contracts.

 

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Acquisition-related costs may be deemed ineligible for deferral when they are based on contingent or performance criteria beyond the basic acquisition of the insurance contract. All eligible costs are capitalized and charged to expense in proportion to premium revenue recognized. The method followed in computing deferred policy acquisition costs limits the amount of such deferred costs to their estimated realizable value. This would also give effect to the premiums to be earned and anticipated losses and settlement expenses, as well as certain other costs expected to be incurred as the premiums are earned. Judgments as to the ultimate recoverability of such deferred costs are highly dependent upon estimated future loss costs associated with the premiums written. This deferral methodology applies to both gross and ceded premiums and acquisition costs.

 

Deferred Taxes

 

We record net deferred tax assets to the extent temporary differences representing future deductible items exceed future taxable items. A significant amount of our deferred tax assets relate to expected future tax deductions arising from claim reserves and future tax deductions related to changes in our investments’ unrealized gain or loss positions.

 

Since there is no absolute assurance that these assets will be ultimately realized, management reviews the Company’s deferred tax positions to determine if it is more likely than not that the assets will be realized. Periodic reviews include, among other things, the nature and amount of the taxable income and expense items, the expected timing when assets will be used or liabilities will be required to be reported and the reliability of historical profitability of businesses expected to provide future earnings. Furthermore, management considers tax-planning strategies it can use to increase the likelihood that the tax assets will be realized. If after conducting the periodic review, management determines that the realization of the tax asset does not meet the “more-likely-than-not” criteria, an offsetting valuation allowance is recorded thereby reducing net earnings and the deferred tax asset in that period. In addition, management must make estimates of the tax rates expected to apply in the periods in which future taxable items are realized.  Such estimates specifically include determinations and judgments as to the expected manner in which certain temporary differences, including deferred amounts related to the Company’s equity method investment, will be recovered and thereby the applicable tax rates.  These estimates are subject to change based on specific changes in circumstances.

 

NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2008, COMPARED TO NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2007

 

Consolidated revenues, as displayed in the table that follows, totaled $445.4 million for the first nine months of 2008 compared to $491.5 million for the same period in 2007.

 

 

 

For the Nine-Month Period

 

 

 

Ended September 30,

 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

Consolidated revenues (in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net premiums earned

 

$

399,110

 

$

409,576

 

Net investment income

 

58,707

 

58,500

 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

 

(12,396

)

23,414

 

Total consolidated revenue

 

$

445,421

 

$

491,490

 

 

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Consolidated revenue for the first nine months of 2008 decreased $46.1 million, or 9%, from the same period in 2007.  Net premiums earned for the Group decreased 3% from 2007 levels, as casualty writings continue to decline due to overall rate softening.  Net investment income remained flat at $58.7 million despite a declining interest rate environment.  We realized losses of $28.1 million, all of which were other-than-temporarily-impaired securities primarily centered within our preferred stock portfolio which was concentrated in the financial sector and for which management began to exit this portfolio during the quarter.  As a result, net realized losses totaled $12.4 million for the first nine months of 2008 compared to net realized gains of $23.4 million for the same period last year. Of the realized losses, $8.0 million represents losses not yet realized through sale as of September 30, 2008.  During the first six months of 2008, we recorded $0.5 million of other-than-temporary impairment charges.

 

Net after-tax earnings for the first nine months of 2008 totaled $72.7 million, $3.32 per diluted share, compared to $143.9 million, $5.91 per diluted share, for the same period in 2007.  In 2008, favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves resulted in additional pretax earnings of $42.8 million. Partially offsetting this favorable development in 2008 was $24.0 million in pretax hurricane losses.  In 2007, favorable development on prior years’ loss and hurricane reserves resulted in additional pretax earnings of $87.8 million. Bonus and profit sharing-related expenses related to these specific items totaled $0.4 million in 2008 and $7.4 million in 2007. These performance-related expenses affected policy acquisition, insurance operating and general corporate expenses.  Bonuses earned by executives, managers and associates are predominately influenced by corporate performance (operating earnings and return on capital).

 

During the first nine months of 2008, equity in earnings of unconsolidated investee totaled $6.4 million from Maui Jim, Inc. (Maui Jim).  The first nine months of 2007 reflected $7.8 million in Maui Jim income.  This decline in 2008 related to foreign exchange losses incurred by Maui Jim on accounts receivable from international sunglass sales.  The increasing value of the dollar during 2008 resulted in currency losses, negatively impacting earnings.

 

Results for the first nine months of 2008 included pretax realized losses of $12.4 million, compared to pretax realized gains of $23.4 million, for the same period last year, primarily from impaired securities in the financial sector.  The majority of our realized losses relate to the preferred stock portfolio which was heavily weighted in the financial sector.  Of the realized losses, $8.0 million represents losses not yet realized through sale as of September 30, 2008.  During the first six months of 2008, we did not record any other-than-temporary impairment charges.

 

Comprehensive earnings, which include net earnings plus other comprehensive earnings (loss) (primarily the change in unrealized gains/losses net of tax), totaled $4.4 million, $0.20 per diluted share, for the first nine months of 2008, compared to comprehensive earnings of $139.4 million, $5.72 per diluted share, for the same period in 2007. Unrealized losses, net of tax, for the first nine months of 2008 were $68.3 million, compared to $4.5 million for the same period in 2007.  With the uncertainty in the economy and financial markets, the equity markets struggled in the first nine months of 2008.  Through September 30, 2008, the equity portfolio returned

-16.4% resulting in unrealized losses.  Despite the decline during the first nine months of the

 

32



 

year, as of September 30, 2008, the equity portfolio includes $73.3 million in unrealized gains.

 

RLI INSURANCE GROUP

 

As reflected in the table below, gross premiums written for the Group declined to $518.9 million for the first nine months of 2008 from $571.7 million for the same period of 2007, primarily attributable to a decrease in casualty and property writings.  Underwriting income for the Group declined $72.1 million to $59.0 million for the first nine months of 2008.  Underwriting income for 2008 included $42.8 million in favorable development on prior accident years’ loss reserves, offset by $24.0 million in hurricane losses.  On a comparative basis, underwriting income for 2007 included $87.8 million in favorable development on prior accident years’ loss reserves and no hurricane losses.  The GAAP combined ratio totaled 85.2 in 2008, compared to 68.0 in 2007.  The increase in combined ratio was primarily attributable to an increase in the Group’s loss ratio. The Group’s loss ratio increased to 47.6 for 2008, compared to 32.1 for 2007. The loss ratio in 2007 included a greater amount of favorable development on prior accident years’ loss reserves, as discussed above.  In addition, the expected loss ratios on the 2008 accident year for casualty and surety have increased.  Continued rate declines and moderate loss cost inflation have resulted in increased actuarial loss projections for the 2008 accident year.

 

 

 

For the Nine-Month Period

 

 

 

Ended September 30,

 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

Gross premiums written (in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

Casualty

 

$

307,860

 

$

352,886

 

Property

 

151,372

 

163,959

 

Surety

 

59,710

 

54,880

 

Total

 

$

518,942

 

$

571,725

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting income (in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

Casualty

 

$

33,446

 

$

91,440

 

Property

 

10,850

 

20,898

 

Surety

 

14,704

 

18,727

 

Total

 

$

59,000

 

$

131,065

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Combined ratio

 

 

 

 

 

Casualty

 

85.9

 

64.9

 

Property

 

90.2

 

79.8

 

Surety

 

71.0

 

59.7

 

Total

 

85.2

 

68.0

 

 

Casualty

 

Gross premiums written for the casualty segment totaled $307.9 million for the first nine months of 2008, a decrease of $45.0 million, or 13%, from the same period last year.  This segment continues to feel the pressure of significant rate reductions.  General liability, our largest growth contributor over the past several years, recorded gross premiums written of $109.0 million, a decrease of $28.8 million, or 21%, from the same period last year.  While rates have continued to deteriorate, this coverage has sustained profitable

 

33



 

results.  Transportation gross premiums written totaled $41.0 million for 2008, a decrease of $6.0 million, or 13%, from the first nine months of 2007, due to continuing price and volume declines.  Commercial umbrella recorded gross premiums written of $28.8 million in the first nine months of 2008, a decline of $4.8 million, or 14%, from the same period last year.  With respect to volume increases, gross premiums written for specialty program business advanced 7% to $27.5 million and personal umbrella rose 3% to $46.4 million from the same period in 2007.  As the casualty market continues to soften, we will remain focused on growing areas that provide the best return, while maintaining strict adherence to underwriting discipline.

 

In total, the casualty segment recorded underwriting income of $33.4 million, compared to $91.4 million for the same period last year.  Both periods included favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves.  Results for 2008 include favorable loss development, primarily on accident years 2004 through 2006. Products affected were general liability plus commercial and personal umbrella.  Due to positive emergence, we released reserves which improved the segment’s underwriting results by $34.0 million.  From a comparative standpoint, results for 2007 included $77.5 million of favorable loss experience on prior accident years (2004 through 2006), primarily for general liability, umbrella, transportation, executive products, and employer’s indemnity, and on hurricanes (2005).  Overall, the combined ratio for the casualty segment was 85.9 for 2008 compared to 64.9 in 2007. The segment’s loss ratio was 54.8 in 2008 compared to 33.9 in 2007, primarily driven by a greater amount of favorable development that benefitted the 2007 results and increased expected loss ratios for the 2008 accident year. As described in our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K, we reflect historical loss experience, historical and projected price changes, and historical and projected loss cost inflation in our expected loss ratio projections.  In 2008, we anticipated continued rate declines and moderate loss cost inflation, which resulted in increased actuarial loss projections for the 2008 accident year.  The expense ratio for the casualty segment was 31.1 for the first nine months of 2008 compared to 31.0 for the same period of 2007.

 

Property

 

Gross premiums written for the Group’s property segment totaled $151.4 million for the first nine months of 2008, a decrease of $12.6 million, or approximately 8%, from the same period last year.  Our domestic fire book recorded gross premiums written of $55.4 million, a decrease of $10.1 million, or 15%, from the same period last year.  Difference-in-conditions (DIC) gross premiums written declined $17.1 million, or 32%, to $36.4 million for the first nine months of 2008.  Increased competition for non-catastrophe exposed accounts, combined with the softening of rates for earthquake and coastal wind-exposed risks, continue to impact the overall property market.  Offsetting this decline, our marine division recorded $46.7 million in gross written premium during the first nine months of 2008, an increase of $13.3 million, or 40%, from the same period last year.

 

Net premiums earned for the segment increased $7.8 million, or 8%, from the same period last year while net premiums written were flat, at $110.1 million. The current increase in net premiums earned is reflective of the increase in net premiums written experienced in the first quarter of 2008. The segment has benefitted from decreased catastrophe costs resulting in a reduction in ceded catastrophe premium of $8.3 million during the first nine months of 2008.

 

34



 

Further, the segment reduced the amount of facultative reinsurance purchased resulting in reduced ceded written premium of $5.1 million and reduced ceded earned premium of $7.6 million during the first nine months of 2008.  In addition, the marine division, our largest growth contributor, represents a larger percentage of the segment premium and has increased its retention rate in 2008.  Therefore, the division retains an increased portion of the premium, along with a heightened level of risk.  Net premiums written for marine increased $12.5 million, or 44%, while net premiums earned increased $13.1 million, or 59%, in the first nine months of 2008 as a result of the growth in production and reduced reinsurance costs.

 

Underwriting income for the segment was $10.9 million for the first nine months of 2008, compared to $20.9 million for the same period in 2007.  Results for 2008 include favorable loss development on prior accident years, primarily 2003 through 2007, for our runoff construction business.  Due to this positive emergence, during the first nine months of 2008, we released reserves.  These reserve releases improved the segment’s underwriting results by $2.8 million.  However, results for 2008 were negatively impacted by $22.5 million in property losses from Hurricanes Gustav and Ike.  From a comparative standpoint, results for 2007 included $0.7 million of favorable loss experience on accident years prior to 1999, on assumed property business and on hurricanes (2005).  Increased frequency and severity of habitational fire losses negatively impacted results for 2007, but the segment benefitted from a light hurricane season.  Revised underwriting guidelines for habitational risks have negatively impacted written premium but are contributing to more stable and profitable non-catastrophe results in 2008.

 

Segment results for 2008 translate into a combined ratio of 90.2, compared to 79.8 for the same period last year. The segment’s loss ratio increased to 51.2 from 44.0 in 2007, due to the aforementioned hurricane losses in 2008.

 

From an expense standpoint, the segment’s expense ratio for the first nine months increased to 39.0 from 35.8 in 2007 due to increased commissions and the investment in additional underwriters.  In addition, marine, our primary growth product in the segment, carries higher policy acquisition costs than other products within the segment.

 

Surety

 

The surety segment recorded gross premiums written of $59.7 million for the first nine months of 2008, an increase of $4.8 million, or 9%, from the same period last year.  Premium growth was experienced across all product lines.  The segment recorded underwriting income of $14.7 million, compared to $18.7 million for the same period last year. Results for 2008 include favorable loss development on prior accident years, primarily 2007, which led to reserve releases during the first nine months of 2008.  These reserve releases improved the segment’s underwriting results by $6.0 million.  Results for 2007 included $9.5 million of favorable loss development on prior accident years 2004 through 2006.

 

The combined ratio for the surety segment totaled 71.0 in 2008, versus 59.7 for the same period in 2007.  The segment’s loss ratio was 6.0 for 2008, compared to -3.9 for 2007, as both periods were favorably impacted by the aforementioned reserve releases.  In 2008, loss ratios on the current accident year are up slightly, reflective of our expectation of moderate loss cost

 

35



 

inflation.  The expense ratio increased slightly to 65.0 compared to 63.6 for the same period last year as acquisition costs rose with the addition of underwriters and expansion efforts over the past year.

 

We are in litigation concerning certain commercial surety bond claims arising out of a specific bond program (the Commercial Money Center or “CMC” litigation), said litigation previously disclosed in various SEC filings, including Item 3- Legal Proceedings of our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K.

 

On March 13, 2008, we reached a settlement with Bank of Waukegan, one of the investor banks party to the legal proceedings.  The settlement ends our litigation with Bank of Waukegan but does not resolve our pending litigation with Atlantic Coast Federal Bank. The settlement with Bank of Waukegan relates to surety bonds representing approximately 12% of the amount to which the investor banks had claimed entitlement.  In total, our settlement with the four investor banks to date related to surety bonds representing approximately 95% of the amount to which the five investor banks had claimed entitlement.  This settlement did not have a material adverse impact on our financial statements taken as a whole.  While it is impossible to ascertain the ultimate outcome of the litigation between us and Atlantic Coast Federal Bank (the remaining investor bank) at this time, we continue to believe we have meritorious defenses with respect to Atlantic Coast Federal Bank’s claims and we will continue to vigorously assert those defenses in the pending litigation.  We believe we are adequately reserved for the ultimate outcome of the remaining litigation and that the resolution will not have a material adverse impact on our financial statements taken as a whole. However, litigation is subject to inherent uncertainties, and if there were an outcome unfavorable to us, there exists the possibility of a material adverse impact on our financial condition, results of operations or cash flows in the period in which the outcome occurs.

 

INVESTMENT INCOME AND REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS

 

During the first nine months of 2008, net investment income increased by 0.4% over that reported for the same period in 2007.  Investment income was flat primarily because of lower interest rates and the use of capital for our share buyback program. On an after-tax basis, investment income increased by 1.2%.

 

The average annual yields on our fixed income investments for the first nine months of 2008 and 2007 were as follows:

 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

Pretax Yield

 

 

 

 

 

Taxable

 

5.47

%

5.41

%

Tax-Exempt

 

4.01

%

4.01

%

After-tax yield

 

 

 

 

 

Taxable

 

3.56

%

3.52

%

Tax-Exempt

 

3.80

%

3.80

%

 

The fixed-income portfolio decreased by $33.4 million during the first nine months of 2008.  This portfolio had a tax-adjusted total return on a mark-to-market basis of 0.7%.  Our equity portfolio decreased by $42.3 million during the first nine months of 2008, to $351.4 million. The equity portfolio had a total return of -16.4% during the first nine months of 2008.

 

36



 

We realized a total of $12.4 million in net capital losses in the first nine months of 2008, compared to net capital gains of $23.4 million in the first nine months of 2007.  Investment losses in 2008 relate primarily to the current unease in the financial system and overall market volatility.  The majority of our realized losses relate to the preferred stock portfolio which was heavily weighted in the financial sector and has been hit especially hard during the current market turmoil.  Of the realized losses, $8.0 million represents losses not yet realized through sale as of September 30, 2008.

 

We regularly review investment securities for impairment using both quantitative and qualitative criteria.  Quantitative criteria include length of time and amount that each security is in an unrealized loss position and, for fixed maturities, whether the issuer is in compliance with terms and covenants of the security.  Qualitative criteria include the financial health of and specific prospects for the issuer, as well as our intent and ability to hold the security to maturity or until forecasted recovery.  We recorded $24.2 million of pretax realized losses on the investment portfolio during the third quarter, primarily from other-than-temporarily-impaired securities in the financial sector.  The majority of our realized losses relate to our preferred stock portfolio which was heavily weighted in the financial sector.

 

In 2007, there were no losses associated with the other-than-temporary impairment of securities.

 

The following table is used as part of our impairment analysis and illustrates certain industry-level measurements relative to our equity and preferred stock portfolio as of September 30, 2008, including fair value, cost basis, and unrealized gains and losses.

 

 

 

9/30/2008

 

 

 

Cost

 

 

 

Unrealized

 

 

 

Unrealized

 

 

 

Basis

 

Fair Value

 

Gains

 

Losses

 

Net

 

Gain/Loss % (1)

 

 

 

(dollars in thousands)

 

Consumer Discretionary

 

$

18,265

 

$

18,240

 

$

1,512

 

$

(1,537

)

$

(25

)

-0.1

%

Consumer Staples

 

13,602

 

29,073

 

15,471

 

 

15,471

 

113.7

%

Energy

 

9,406

 

25,721

 

16,315

 

 

16,315

 

173.5

%

Financials

 

29,867

 

37,306

 

11,080

 

(3,641

)

7,439

 

24.9

%

Healthcare

 

10,763

 

21,510

 

11,528

 

(781

)

10,747

 

99.9

%

Industrials

 

12,730

 

22,248

 

10,227

 

(709

)

9,518

 

74.8

%

Materials

 

7,542

 

6,645

 

439

 

(1,336

)

(897

)

-11.9

%

Information Technology

 

13,005

 

19,865

 

7,764

 

(904

)

6,860

 

52.7

%

Telecommunications

 

4,409

 

8,628

 

4,219

 

 

4,219

 

95.7

%

Utilities

 

43,354

 

59,163

 

16,495

 

(686

)

15,809

 

36.5

%

Preferred Stocks

 

16,747

 

16,749

 

2

 

 

2

 

0.0

%

Mutual Fund / ETF

 

98,358

 

86,235

 

 

(12,123

)

(12,123

)

-12.3

%

 

 

$

278,048

 

$

351,383

 

$

95,052

 

$

(21,717

)

$

73,335

 

26.4

%

 


(1) Calculated as the percentage of net unrealized gain (loss) to cost basis.

 

The Mutual Fund/ETF amounts shown above are relatively new assets classes to our portfolio and have not had the benefit of accumulated returns over an extended period of time.  These asset classes have performed as expected given the current market volatility.  In addition, these assets have not been in an unrealized loss position of greater than 20% for six consecutive months.

 

37



 

In addition to our equity and preferred stock portfolios shown above, we maintain an allocation to municipal fixed income securities.  As of September 30, 2008, we had $482.4 million in municipal securities.  Of our consolidated municipal fixed income portfolio, approximately 72% of these bonds are insured by what we consider traditional monoline insurers through wrap insurance.  Many of the traditional monoline municipal bond insurers have been under pressure in recent months.  In many instances, rating agencies have downgraded these municipal bond insurers.  Despite these downgrades, the credit quality on our municipal bond portfolio remains outstanding.  As of September 30, 2008, approximately 35% of our municipal bond portfolio maintains an ‘AAA’ rating, and 49% of our municipal bond portfolio maintains an ‘AA’ rating.  It is important to note that historical default studies indicate that the default rate for municipal bonds is less than similarly rated corporate bonds.  We believe that our municipal fixed income portfolio has a very high credit rating and that insurance is not necessary to own these securities.

 

INCOME TAXES

 

Our effective tax rate for the first nine months of 2008 was 28% compared to 31% for the same period in 2007. Effective rates are dependent upon components of pretax earnings and the related tax effects.  The effective rate for the first nine months of 2008 is lower due to the decrease in underwriting income and the realized losses on the investment portfolio, which are taxed at 35%.  In addition, changes in items that are non-taxable, such as tax-exempt interest income, impact the effective tax rate.

 

Our net earnings include equity in earnings of an unconsolidated investee.  This investee does not have a pattern of paying dividends.  As a result, we record a deferred tax liability on these earnings at the corporate capital gains rate of 35%.  In the third quarter of 2008, we received a $4.0 million dividend from Maui Jim.  As required by SFAS 109, Accounting for Income Taxes, we recognized a $1.1 million tax benefit from applying the lower tax rate applicable to affiliated dividends as compared to the corporate gains rate on which the deferred tax liabilities were based.  This benefit is included in the total dividend received deduction caption in the table below.  We recorded no such tax benefit in 2007.

 

Income tax expense attributable to income from operations differed from the amounts computed by applying the U.S. federal tax rate of 35% to pretax income for the first nine months of 2008 and 2007 as a result of the following:

 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

(in thousands)

 

Amount

 

%

 

Amount

 

%

 

Provision for income taxes at the Statutory rate of 35%

 

$

35,272

 

35

%

$

72,919

 

35

%

Increase (reduction) in taxes resulting from:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tax exempt interest income

 

(4,834

)

-5

%

(4,756

)

-2

%

Dividends received deduction

 

(2,499

)

-2

%

(1,361

)

-1

%

Dividends paid deduction

 

(378

)

0

%

(355

)

0

%

Nonrecurring tax benefit

 

 

0

%

(2,356

)

-1

%

Other items, net

 

522

 

0

%

340

 

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total tax expense

 

$

28,083

 

28

%

$

64,431

 

31

%

 

38



 

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

 

We have three primary types of cash flows: (1) cash flows from operating activities, which consist mainly of cash generated by our underwriting operations and income earned on our investment portfolio, (2) cash flows from investing activities related to the purchase, sale and maturity of investments, and (3) cash flows from financing activities that impact our capital structure, such as changes in debt and shares outstanding.

 

The following table summarizes cash flows for the nine month periods ended September 30, 2008 and 2007.

 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

 

 

(in thousands)

 

Operating cash flows

 

$

126,732

 

$

111,228

 

Investing cash flows

 

$

(39,030

)

$

(88,385

)

Financing cash flows

 

$

(87,702

)

$

(22,843

)

Total

 

$

 

$

 

 

Cash flows from operating activities increased during the first nine months of 2008 compared to that reported for the same period in 2007, due to the timing of certain reinsurance, claim and other payments.  In both 2008 and 2007, available operating cash flow has been used in investing activities to purchase additional investment securities and in financing activities to fund the repurchase of our stock.

 

Our common stock repurchase program, which authorizes us to repurchase up to $200 million of our Company’s common stock, was initially approved by our Board of Directors on May 3, 2007 for $100 million.  On November 14, 2007, our Board of Directors increased the previously announced repurchase program by $100 million, for a total of $200 million of our common stock.  During the third quarter of 2008, we repurchased 42,600 shares for $2.3 million under the plan.  As of September 30, 2008, we have repurchased 2,881,400 shares for a total of $162.2 million.  In light of the current market volatility, the repurchase program was temporarily suspended in the third quarter of 2008.

 

We have $100.0 million in long-term debt outstanding. On December 12, 2003, we completed a public debt offering, issuing $100.0 million in senior notes maturing January 15, 2014 (a 10-year maturity), and paying interest semi-annually at the rate of 5.95% per annum. The notes were issued at a discount resulting in proceeds, net of discount and commission, of $98.9 million. We are not party to any off-balance sheet arrangements.

 

At September 30, 2008, we had short-term investments and other investments maturing within one year of approximately $94.9 million and investments of $387.5 million maturing within five years. As of September 30, 2008, our short-term investments were held in JPMorgan money market funds.  Specific funds used were the JPMorgan Prime Money Market Fund and the JPMorgan U.S. Government Money Market Fund, both of which are NAIC-approved, AA-rated, and maintain average weighted maturities of less than 60 days.  We also maintain a revolving line of credit with JPMorgan Chase, which permits us to borrow up to an aggregate principal amount of $25.0 million.  Under certain conditions, the line may be increased up to an aggregate principal amount of $50.0 million. The facility has a three-year term that expires on May 31, 2011. As of September 30, 2008, no amounts were outstanding on this facility.

 

39



 

We believe that cash generated by operations, cash generated by investments and cash available from financing activities will provide sufficient sources of liquidity to meet our anticipated needs over the next 12 to 24 months.

 

We have not had any liquidity issues affecting our operations as we have sufficient cash flow to support operations. In addition to the line of credit, our highly liquid investment portfolio and additional reverse repurchase debt capacity provide additional sources of liquidity.

 

We maintain a well-diversified investment portfolio representing policyholder funds that have not yet been paid out as claims, as well as the capital we hold for our shareholders. As of September 30, 2008, our investment portfolio had a book value of $1.8 billion. Invested assets at September 30, 2008, decreased by $80.7 million from December 31, 2007.

 

As of September 30, 2008, our investment portfolio had the following asset allocation breakdown:

 

Portfolio Allocation

($ in 000s)

 

 

 

Cost or

 

Financial

 

Unrealized

 

% of

 

 

 

Asset Class

 

Amortized Cost

 

Stmt. Value

 

Gain/(Loss)

 

Total

 

Quality

 

Agencies

 

$

292,172

 

$

291,777

 

$

(395

)

16.6

%

AAA

 

Corporates

 

285,160

 

264,176

 

(20,984

)

15.0

%

A

 

Mortgage Backed

 

264,133

 

261,450

 

(2,683

)

14.9

%

AAA

 

Asset Backed

 

26,408

 

25,544

 

(864

)

1.5

%

AAA

 

Treasuries

 

13,381

 

13,666

 

285

 

0.8

%

AAA

 

Munis

 

489,853

 

482,370

 

(7,483

)

27.4

%

AA

 

Total Fixed Income

 

$

1,371,107

 

$

1,338,983

 

$

(32,124

)

76.1

%

AA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equities

 

$

210,013

 

$

291,696

 

$

81,683

 

16.6

%

 

 

High Yield Muni

 

51,288

 

42,938

 

(8,350

)

2.4

%

 

 

Total Equity

 

$

261,301

 

$

334,634

 

$

73,333

 

19.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred Stock

 

$

16,747

 

$

16,749

 

$

2

 

1.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Short-term investments

 

$

68,669

 

$

68,669

 

$

 

3.9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Portfolio

 

$

1,717,824

 

$

1,759,035

 

$

41,211

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

Our investment portfolio does not have any exposure to credit default swaps or derivatives.  As of September 30, 2008, $11.9 million of our bond portfolio was part of a securities lending program.  We have suspended the securities lending program and will be unwinding the program over the next year.

 

As of September 30, 2008, our fixed-income portfolio had the following rating distribution:

 

AAA

 

56.7

%

AA

 

20.0

%

A

 

18.4

%

BBB

 

4.9

%

Total

 

100.0

%

 

40



 

As of September 30, 2008, the duration of the fixed income portfolio was 5.2 years. Our fixed-income portfolio remained well diversified, with 780 individual issues as of September 30, 2008.

 

Our investment portfolio has limited exposure to structured asset backed products. We have approximately $25 million in asset backed securities which are pools of assets collateralized by cash flows from several types of loans, including home equity, credit cards, autos, and similar obligations. Included in this total is roughly $3 million in subprime home equity exposure. We have approximately $49 million in securities backed by commercial mortgages and roughly $206 million in securities backed by conforming government-sponsored enterprise (Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae) residential loans. Excluding the conforming Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, and Ginnie Mae mortgages, our exposure to asset backed products is roughly four percent of our investment portfolio and our direct subprime exposure is less than one percent.

 

At September 30, 2008, our equity portfolio had a fair value of $334.6 million and is also a source of liquidity. The securities within the equity portfolio remain primarily invested in large-cap issues with strong dividend performance and real estate investment trust (REIT) securities.  Our preferred stock portfolio had a fair value of $16.7 million as of September 30, 2008.  In the equity and preferred stock portfolios, the strategy remains one of value investing, with security selection taking precedence over market timing. We use a buy-and-hold strategy, minimizing both transactional costs and taxes.

 

As of September 30, 2008, our equity portfolio had a dividend yield of 3.3% compared to 2.5% for the S&P 500 index. Because of the corporate dividend-received-deduction applicable to our dividend income, we pay an effective tax rate of only 14.2% on dividends, compared to 35.0% on taxable interest and REIT income and 5.3% on municipal bond interest income. As with our bond portfolio, we maintain a well-diversified group of 114 equity securities.

 

Our capital structure is comprised of equity and debt outstanding. As of September 30, 2008, our capital structure consisted of $100.0 million in 10-year maturity senior notes maturing in 2014 (long-term debt) and $718.9 million of shareholders’ equity. Debt outstanding comprised 12.2% of total capital as of September 30, 2008.

 

We paid a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share on October 15, 2008, the same as the previous quarter, representing our 129th consecutive quarterly dividend. We have increased dividends for 33 straight years.

 

Dividend payments to us from our principal insurance subsidiary are restricted by state insurance laws as to the amount that may be paid without prior approval of the regulatory authority of Illinois.  The maximum distribution in a rolling 12-month period is limited by Illinois law to the greater of 10% of policyholder surplus as of December 31 of the preceding year or the net income of the Company for the 12-month period ending December 31 of the preceding year.  Therefore, the maximum dividend that can be paid by RLI Insurance Company in a rolling 12-month period ending in 2008 without prior approval is $126.2 million which represents RLI Insurance Company’s 2007 net income.  Dividends that have been paid by RLI Insurance Company to RLI Corp. in the first nine months of 2008 include $40.0 million on March 28th and $25.0 million on June 27th, for a total of $65.0 million year-to-date.  There was no

 

41



 

affiliate dividend paid in the third quarter.  Dividends paid the last three months of 2007 totaled $35.0 million, bringing the total for the rolling 12-month period to $100.0 million, within the limitation of $126.2 million.  These dividends are paid to provide additional capital to RLI Corp. from RLI Insurance Company and used for the share repurchase plan, shareholder dividends, interest on senior notes, and general corporate expenses.

 

Interest and fees on debt obligations totaled $5.2 million for the first nine months of 2008, up $0.2 million from the same period in 2007.  As of September 30, 2008, outstanding debt balances totaled $100.00 million, compared to $152.6 million at September 30, 2007.  In the third quarter, we paid off our reverse repurchase agreement of $25.9 million.  The September 30, 2008 debt balance is comprised of the $100.0 million in senior notes. The September 30, 2007 balance consisted of the $100.0 million in senior notes and $52.6 million in reverse repurchase agreements. We have incurred interest expense on debt at the following average interest rates for the nine month periods ended September 30, 2008 and 2007:

 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

Line of Credit

 

NA

 

NA

 

Reverse repurchase agreements

 

3.41

%

5.28

%

Total short-term debt

 

3.41

%

5.28

%

Senior Notes

 

6.02

%

6.02

%

Total Debt

 

5.48

%

5.94

%

 

THREE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2008 COMPARED TO THREE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2007

 

Consolidated revenues, as displayed in the table that follows, totaled $126.5 million for the third quarter of 2008 compared to $158.4 million for the same period in 2007.

 

 

 

For the Three-Month Period

 

 

 

Ended September 30,

 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

Consolidated revenues (in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net premiums earned

 

$

130,850

 

$

134,111

 

Net investment income

 

19,844

 

20,433

 

Net realized investment gains (losses)

 

(24,212

)

3,822

 

Total consolidated revenue

 

$

126,482

 

$

158,366

 

 

Consolidated revenue for the third quarter of 2008 decreased $31.9 million, or 20%, from the same period in 2007.  Net premiums earned for the Group decreased 2% from 2007 levels, as casualty writings continue to decline due to overall rate softening.  Net investment income declined 3% to $19.8 million due to a declining interest rate environment.   We realized losses of $28.1 million, all of which were other-than-temporarily-impaired securities primarily centered within our preferred stock portfolio which was concentrated in the financial sector and for which management began to exit this portfolio during the quarter.  As a result, net realized losses totaled $24.2 million for the third quarter of 2008 compared to net realized gains of $3.8 million for the same period last year. Of the realized losses, $8.0 million represents losses not yet realized through sale as of September 30, 2008.

 

42



 

Net after-tax earnings for the third quarter of 2008 totaled $8.6 million, $0.40 per diluted share, compared to $61.5 million, $2.56 per diluted share, for the same period in 2007.  In the third quarter of 2008, favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves resulted in additional pretax earnings of $24.3 million. Offsetting this favorable development in 2008 was $24.0 million in hurricane losses.  Comparatively, in the third quarter of 2007, favorable development on prior years’ loss and hurricane reserves resulted in additional pretax earnings of $51.3 million. Bonus and profit sharing-related expenses related to the 2007 results totaled $3.7 million.  In the third quarter of 2008, bonus and profit sharing-related expenses were reduced by $0.4 million, reflective of lower operating earnings and return on capital.  These performance-related expenses affected policy acquisition, insurance operating and general corporate expenses.  Bonuses earned by executives, managers and associates are predominately influenced by corporate performance (operating earnings and return on capital).

 

During the third quarter of 2008, equity in earnings of unconsolidated investee totaled $0.2 million from Maui Jim.  The third quarter of 2007 reflected $2.0 million in Maui Jim income.  This decline related to foreign exchange losses incurred by Maui Jim on accounts receivable from international sunglass sales.  During the third quarter of 2008, the increasing value of the dollar resulted in currency losses, negatively impacting earnings.

 

Results for the third quarter of 2008 included pretax realized losses of $24.2 million, compared to pretax realized gains of $3.8 million, for the same period last year, primarily from impaired securities in the financial sector. The majority of our realized losses relate to the preferred stock portfolio which was heavily weighted in the financial sector.  Of the realized losses, $8.0 million represents losses not yet realized through sale as of September 30, 2008.

 

Comprehensive earnings (loss), which include net earnings plus other comprehensive earnings (loss) (primarily the change in unrealized gains/losses net of tax), totaled a loss of $15.5 million, -$0.72 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2008, compared to comprehensive earnings of $71.4 million, $2.97 per diluted share, for the same period in 2007. Unrealized losses, net of tax, for the third quarter of 2008 were $24.1 million, compared to unrealized gains of $9.9 million for the same period in 2007.  With the uncertainty in the economy and financial markets, the equity markets continued to struggle in the third quarter of 2008.  For the quarter, the equity portfolio returned -8.3% resulting in unrealized losses.

 

RLI INSURANCE GROUP

 

As reflected in the table below, gross premiums written for the Group declined to $172.9 million for the third quarter of 2008 from $188.3 million in the third quarter of 2007, primarily attributable to a decrease in casualty writings.  Underwriting income for the Group declined $51.2 million to $15.2 million for the third quarter of 2008.  Results for both periods were favorably impacted by varying amounts of prior accident years’ loss reserve releases.  However, results for 2008 were also negatively impacted by hurricane losses.  The GAAP combined ratio totaled 88.3 in 2008, compared to 50.6 in 2007.  The increase in combined ratio was primarily attributable to an increase in the Group’s loss ratio.  The Group’s loss ratio increased to 50.4 for 2008, compared to 12.7 for 2007.  The loss ratio in 2007 included a

 

43



 

greater amount of favorable development on prior accident years’ loss reserves.

 

 

 

For the Three-Month Period

 

 

 

Ended September 30,

 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

Gross premiums written (in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

Casualty

 

$

99,570

 

$

114,279

 

Property

 

51,599

 

55,551

 

Surety

 

21,728

 

18,488

 

Total

 

$

172,897

 

$

188,318

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting income(loss) (in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

Casualty

 

$

18,537

 

$

47,555

 

Property

 

(11,059

)

8,158

 

Surety

 

7,719

 

10,654

 

Total

 

$

15,197

 

$

66,367

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Combined ratio

 

 

 

 

 

Casualty

 

75.9

 

43.5

 

Property

 

130.4

 

76.0

 

Surety

 

55.8

 

32.8

 

Total

 

88.3

 

50.6

 

 

Casualty

 

Gross premiums written for the casualty segment totaled $99.6 million for the third quarter of 2008, a decrease of $14.7 million, or 13%, from the same period last year.  This segment continues to feel the pressure of significant rate reductions.  General liability, our largest growth contributor over the past several years, recorded gross premiums written of $32.7 million for the third quarter of 2008, a decrease of $8.4 million, or 20%, from the same period last year.  While rates have continued to deteriorate, this coverage has sustained profitable results.  Transportation gross premiums written totaled $14.1 million, a decrease of $3.4 million, or 19%, from the third quarter of 2007, due to continuing price and volume declines. On a positive note, gross premiums written for specialty program business advanced 5% to $9.3 million and personal umbrella rose 4% to $15.9 million from the same period in 2007.  As the casualty market continues to soften, we will remain focused on growing areas that provide the best return, while maintaining strict adherence to underwriting discipline.

 

In total, the casualty segment recorded underwriting income of $18.5 million, compared to $47.6 million for the same period last year.  Both periods included favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves.  Results for 2008 include favorable loss development on prior accident years, primarily 2004 through 2006. Products affected were general liability and commercial and personal umbrella.  This reserve development improved the segment’s underwriting results by $18.8 million.  From a comparative standpoint, results for 2007 include $44.3 million of favorable loss experience on prior accident years (predominantly 2004 through 2006) primarily for general liability, umbrella, transportation, and employer’s indemnity.  Overall, the combined ratio for the casualty segment was 75.9 for 2008 compared to 43.5 in 2007. The segment’s loss ratio was 44.3 in 2008 compared to 10.2 in 2007, primarily

 

44



 

driven by a greater amount of favorable development that impacted the 2007 results and increased expected loss ratios for the 2008 accident year.  As described in our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K, we reflect historical loss experience, historical and projected price changes, and historical and projected loss cost inflation in our expected loss ratio projections.  In 2008, we anticipated continued rate declines and moderate loss cost inflation, which resulted in increased actuarial loss projections for the 2008 accident year.  While current accident year loss ratios were higher than in 2007, actuarial loss projections for the 2008 accident year were reduced during the third quarter as loss trends remain favorable and rate declines on certain products were a bit less than anticipated.  The expense ratio for the casualty segment was 31.6 for the third quarter of 2008 compared to 33.3 for the same period of 2007.

 

Property

 

Gross premiums written for the Group’s property segment totaled $51.6 million, a decrease of $4.0 million, or 7%, from the same period last year.  Our domestic fire book recorded gross premiums written of $17.5 million, a decrease of $2.8 million, or 14%, from the same period last year.  Difference-in-conditions (DIC) gross premiums written declined $6.8 million, or 37%, to $11.7 million for the third quarter of 2008.  Increased competition for non-catastrophe exposed accounts, combined with the softening of rates for earthquake and coastal wind-exposed risks, continue to impact the overall property market.  Offsetting this decline, our marine division recorded $17.7 million in gross premiums written during the third quarter of 2008, an increase of $4.8 million, or 38%, from the same period last year.

 

Net premiums earned for the segment increased $2.4 million, or 7%, from the third quarter of 2007 while net premiums written were flat, at $38.3 million. The current increase in net premiums earned is reflective of the increase in net premiums written experienced in the first quarter of 2008.  The segment has benefitted from decreased catastrophe costs resulting in a reduction in ceded catastrophe premium of $3.4 million during the third quarter of 2008.  Further, the segment reduced the amount of facultative reinsurance purchased resulting in reduced ceded written premium of $1.3 million and reduced ceded earned premium of $2.7 million during the third quarter of 2008.  In addition, the marine division, our largest growth contributor, represents a larger percentage of the segment premium and has increased its retention rate in 2008.  Therefore, the division retains an increased portion of the premium, along with a heightened level of risk.  Net premiums written for marine increased $4.0 million, or 33%, while net premiums earned increased $4.2 million, or 48%, in the third quarter 2008 as a result of the growth in production and reduced reinsurance costs.

 

The segment had an underwriting loss of $11.1 million for the third quarter of 2008, compared to underwriting income of $8.2 million for the same period in 2007.  Results for both periods were favorably impacted by prior accident years’ loss reserve releases.  However, results for 2008 were negatively impacted by $22.5 million in property losses from Hurricanes Gustav and Ike, whereas 2007 benefitted from a light hurricane season.

 

Segment results for 2008 translate into a combined ratio of 130.4, compared to 76.0 for the same period last year. The segment’s loss ratio increased to 91.8 from 39.3 in 2007, due to the aforementioned hurricane losses in 2008.

 

45



 

From an expense standpoint, the segment’s expense ratio for the third quarter increased slightly to 38.6 from 36.7 in 2007 due to increased commissions and the investment in additional underwriters.  In addition, marine, our primary growth product in the segment, carries higher policy acquisition costs than other products within the segment.

 

Surety

 

The surety segment recorded gross premiums written of $21.7 million for the third quarter of 2008, an increase of $3.2 million, or 18%, from the same period last year.  Premium growth was experienced across all lines.  The segment recorded underwriting income of $7.7 million, compared to $10.7 million for the same period last year. Results for 2008 include favorable loss development on prior accident years, primarily 2007, which led to reserve releases during the third quarter of 2008.  These reserve releases improved the segment’s underwriting results by $4.9 million. Results for 2007 included $7.9 million of favorable loss development on prior accident years (primarily 2004 through 2006).

 

The combined ratio for the surety segment totaled 55.8 for the third quarter of 2008, versus 32.8 for the same period in 2007.  The segment’s loss ratio was -8.6 for 2008, compared to -31.6 for 2007, as both periods were favorably impacted by the aforementioned favorable reserve development.  In 2008, loss ratios on the current accident year are up slightly, reflective of our expectation of moderate loss cost inflation.  The expense ratio remained flat, at 64.4 for both periods.

 

INVESTMENT INCOME AND REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS

 

Our investment portfolio generated net dividend and interest income of $19.8 million during the third quarter of 2008, a decrease of 2.9% over that reported for the same period in 2007.  The decrease in income is due to a decrease in invested assets due to lower interest rates and continuing our share buyback program.  On an after-tax basis, investment income decreased by 1.4%.

 

Yields on our fixed income investments for the third quarter of 2008 and 2007 are as follows:

 

 

 

3Q 2008

 

3Q 2007

 

Pretax Yield

 

 

 

 

 

Taxable

 

5.50

%

5.46

%

Tax-Exempt

 

4.06

%

4.04

%

After-tax yield

 

 

 

 

 

Taxable

 

3.58

%

3.55

%

Tax-Exempt

 

3.85

%

3.83

%

 

We realized $24.2 million in capital losses in the third quarter of 2008, compared to capital gains of $ 3.8 million in the third quarter of 2007.  Investment losses in 2008 primarily relate to the sale of certain preferred equity securities battered by the credit crisis and turmoil in the markets throughout the quarter.

 

We regularly evaluate the quality of our investment portfolio.  When we believe that a specific security has suffered an other-than-temporary decline

 

46



 

in value, the investment’s value is adjusted by reclassifying the decline from unrealized to realized losses.  This has no impact on shareholders’ equity.

 

We recorded $24.2 million of realized losses on the investment portfolio during the third quarter, primarily from impaired securities in the financial sector.  The majority of our realized losses relate to our preferred stock portfolio which was heavily weighted in the financial sector.

 

In the third quarter of 2007, there were no losses associated with the other-than-temporary impairment of securities.

 

INCOME TAXES

 

Our effective tax rate for the third quarter of 2008 was -12% compared to 30% for the same period in 2007.  Effective rates are dependent upon components of pretax earnings and the related tax effects.  The effective rate for third quarter of 2008 is lower due to a decrease in underwriting income and the realized losses on the investment portfolio.  In addition, changes in items that are non-taxable, such as tax-exempt interest income, impact the effective tax rate.  These factors, combined with an increase in the permanent tax reductions (mainly attributable to the Maui Jim dividend received), and the quarterly effective tax rate is negative for 2008.

 

Our net earnings include equity in earnings of an unconsolidated investee.  This investee does not have a pattern of paying dividends.  As a result, we record a deferred tax liability on these earnings at the corporate capital gains rate of 35%.  In the third quarter of 2008, we received a $4.0 million dividend from Maui Jim.  As required by SFAS 109, Accounting for Income Taxes, we recognized a $1.1 million tax benefit from applying the lower tax rate applicable to affiliated dividends as compared to the corporate gains rate on which the deferred tax liabilities were based.  This benefit is included in the total dividend received deduction caption in the table below.  We recorded no such tax benefit in the third quarter of 2007.

 

Income tax expense attributable to income from operations differed from the amounts computed by applying the U.S. federal tax rate of 35% to pretax income for the third quarter of 2008 and 2007 as a result of the following:

 

 

 

2008

 

2007

 

(in thousands)

 

Amount

 

%

 

Amount

 

%

 

Provision for income taxes at the Statutory rate of 35%

 

$

2,694

 

35

%

$

30,574

 

35

%

Increase (reduction) in taxes resulting from:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tax exempt interest income

 

(1,660

)

-22

%

(1,792

)

-2

%

Dividends received deduction

 

(1,550

)

-20

%

(501

)

-1

%

Dividends paid deduction

 

(133

)

-2

%

(118

)

0

%

Nonrecurring tax benefit

 

 

0

%

(2,356

)

-2

%

Other items, net

 

(241

)

-3

%

9

 

0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total tax expense (benefit)

 

$

(890

)

-12

%

$

25,816

 

30

%

 

47



 

ITEM 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

 

Market risk is the risk of economic losses due to adverse changes in the estimated fair value of a financial instrument as the result of changes in equity prices, interest rates, foreign exchange rates and commodity prices. Our consolidated balance sheets include assets and liabilities whose estimated fair values are subject to market risk. The primary market risks are equity price risk associated with investments in equity securities and interest rate risk associated with investments in fixed maturities. From time to time, equity prices and interest rates fluctuate causing an effect on our investment portfolio. We have no exposure to foreign exchange risk and no direct commodity risk.

 

Our market risk exposures at September 30, 2008, have not materially changed from those identified in our 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K.

 

ITEM 4. Controls and Procedures

 

We maintain a system of controls and procedures designed to provide reasonable assurance as to the reliability of the financial statements and other disclosures included in this report, as well as to safeguard assets from unauthorized use or disposition.  An evaluation of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures was performed, under the supervision and with the participation of management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based upon that evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that these disclosure controls and procedures are effective, as of the end of the period covered by this report.

 

In designing and evaluating our disclosure controls and procedures, management recognizes that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurances of achieving the desired control objective, and management necessarily is required to apply its judgment in evaluating the cost-benefit relationship of possible controls and procedures.  We believe that our disclosure controls and procedures provide such reasonable assurance.

 

No changes were made to our internal control over financial reporting during the last fiscal quarter that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

 

PART II - OTHER INFORMATION

 

Item 1.

 

Legal Proceedings - There were no material changes to report.

 

 

 

Item 1A.

 

Risk Factors - There were no material changes to report.

 

 

 

Item 2.

 

Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds -

 

Items 2(a) and (b) are not applicable.

 

Our common stock repurchase program, which authorizes us to repurchase up to $200 million of our Company’s common stock, was initially approved by our

 

48



 

Board of Directors on May 3, 2007 for $100 million.  On November 14, 2007, our Board of Directors increased the previously announced repurchase program by $100 million, for a total of $200 million of our common stock.  The repurchase program may be suspended or discontinued at any time without prior notice.  In light of the current market volatility, the repurchase program was temporarily suspended in the third quarter of 2008.  During the third quarter of 2008, we repurchased 42,600 shares for $2.3 million under the plan.  The transactions occurred pursuant to open market purchases.

 

The table below shows our repurchases of the Company’s common stock during the third quarter of 2008.

 

Period

 

Total
Number of
Shares
Purchased

 

Average
Price
Paid per
Share

 

Total Number
of Shares
Purchased as
Part of
Publicly
Announced
Program

 

Approximate
Dollar Value of
Shares that May
Yet Be
Purchased Under
the Program

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

July 1, 2008 - July 31, 2008

 

32,300

 

$

53.68

 

32,300

 

$

38,336,739

 

August 1, 2008 - August 31, 2008

 

10,300

 

56.10

 

10,300

 

37,758,922

 

September 1, 2008 - September 30, 2008

 

 

 

 

37,758,922

 

Total

 

42,600

 

$

54.26

 

42,600

 

$

37,758,922

 

 

Item 3.

 

Defaults Upon Senior Securities - Not Applicable

 

 

 

Item 4.

 

Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders - Not Applicable

 

 

 

Item 5.

 

Other Information - Not Applicable

 

 

 

Item 6.

 

Exhibits

 

 

 

 

 

Exhibit 31.1 Certification Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

 

 

 

 

 

Exhibit 31.2 Certification Pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

 

 

 

 

 

Exhibit 32.1 Certification Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as Adopted Pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

 

 

 

 

 

Exhibit 32.2 Certification Pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as Adopted Pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

 

49



 

SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

 

 

RLI Corp.

 

 

 

 

 

/s/Joseph E. Dondanville

 

Joseph E. Dondanville

 

Sr. Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

 

 (Principal Financial and

 

Chief Accounting Officer)

 

Date: October 27, 2008

 

50