5 Revealing Analyst Questions From Hilltop Holdings’s Q3 Earnings Call

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Hilltop Holdings delivered a third quarter that surpassed Wall Street’s expectations, prompting a positive market reaction. According to CEO Jeremy Ford, PlainsCapital Bank’s expansion in net interest margin and solid growth in core loans and deposits were major contributors, while HilltopSecurities benefitted from robust revenue across all business lines. However, the mortgage segment continued to experience headwinds due to subdued home buying activity and margin compression. Ford noted, “PrimeLending’s results reflect a dampened summer home buying market where both volumes and margins remained under pressure.”

Is now the time to buy HTH? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Hilltop Holdings (HTH) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $330.2 million vs analyst estimates of $310.6 million (7.5% year-on-year growth, 6.3% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.74 vs analyst estimates of $0.51 (46.5% beat)
  • Adjusted Operating Income: $61.75 million vs analyst estimates of $50.27 million (18.7% margin, 22.8% beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $1.99 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Hilltop Holdings’s Q3 Earnings Call

  • Michael Rose (Raymond James) asked about the near-term outlook for net interest income. CFO William Furr explained that anticipated rate cuts, loan payoff expectations, and the asset-sensitive balance sheet all contribute to the projection of modest pressure on margins in coming quarters.

  • Michael Rose (Raymond James) questioned the increased share buyback activity. CEO Jeremy Ford responded that Hilltop’s capital position supports more consistent repurchases, and the board has increased authorization to reflect this approach.

  • Michael Rose (Raymond James) inquired about M&A strategy given heightened activity in Texas. Ford said Hilltop is evaluating opportunities created by market dislocation, focusing on both client and talent acquisition, but did not commit to imminent transactions.

  • Michael Rose (Raymond James) probed on the bank’s auto loan exposure, especially to subprime borrowers. Furr clarified that the auto portfolio is being run down and is closely managed, with no new material exposure and sufficient reserves in place.

  • Wood Lay (KBW) asked about the sustainability of HilltopSecurities’ strong fee income. Furr said the third quarter included some episodic benefits and that a reversion to lower, more normal levels is expected, but recurring revenue streams in public finance and wealth management remain robust.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) PlainsCapital Bank’s ability to sustain loan and deposit growth amid ongoing competition in Texas, (2) the recovery trajectory and cost structure improvements at PrimeLending as the mortgage market stabilizes, and (3) whether HilltopSecurities can maintain its momentum across multiple business lines. Attention will also be paid to credit quality trends and the impact of further interest rate changes on margins.

Hilltop Holdings currently trades at $32.46, in line with $32.44 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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