
Most consumer discretionary businesses succeed or fail based on the broader economy. Lately, it seems like demand trends have worked in their favor as the industry has returned 12.3% over the past six months, outpacing S&P 500 by 1.9 percentage points.
Although these companies have produced results lately, investors must be mindful because many are fads and only a few will stand the test of time. Taking that into account, here are three consumer stocks that may face trouble.
DraftKings (DKNG)
Market Cap: $17.51 billion
Getting its start in daily fantasy sports, DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) is a digital sports entertainment and gaming company.
Why Does DKNG Fall Short?
- Sluggish trends in its monthly unique players suggest customers aren’t adopting its solutions as quickly as the company hoped
- Historical operating margin losses point to an inefficient cost structure
- Forecasted free cash flow margin suggests the company will fail to improve its cash conversion over the next year
At $35.16 per share, DraftKings trades at 34.3x forward P/E. If you’re considering DKNG for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.
Golden Entertainment (GDEN)
Market Cap: $719.6 million
Founded in 2001, Golden Entertainment (NASDAQ: GDEN) is a gaming company operating casinos, taverns, and distributed gaming platforms.
Why Do We Steer Clear of GDEN?
- Annual revenue declines of 2.5% over the last five years indicate problems with its market positioning
- Low free cash flow margin of 4.3% for the last two years gives it little breathing room, constraining its ability to self-fund growth or return capital to shareholders
- Diminishing returns on capital from an already low starting point show that neither management’s prior nor current bets are going as planned
Golden Entertainment is trading at $27.49 per share, or 33.2x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with GDEN, check out our full research report (it’s free).
Deckers (DECK)
Market Cap: $15.12 billion
Established in 1973, Deckers (NYSE: DECK) is a footwear and apparel conglomerate with a portfolio of lifestyle and performance brands.
Why Should You Sell DECK?
- Constant currency growth was below our standards over the past two years, suggesting it might need to invest in product improvements to get back on track
- Responsiveness to unforeseen market trends is restricted due to its substandard operating margin profitability
- Ability to fund investments or reward shareholders with increased buybacks or dividends is restricted by its weak free cash flow margin of 18.5% for the last two years
Deckers’s stock price of $103.89 implies a valuation ratio of 16.9x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than DECK.
Stocks We Like More
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