3 Reasons CZR is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

CZR Cover Image

Over the last six months, Caesars Entertainment’s shares have sunk to $24.34, producing a disappointing 18.3% loss - a stark contrast to the S&P 500’s 10.1% gain. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is now the time to buy Caesars Entertainment, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Do We Think Caesars Entertainment Will Underperform?

Even though the stock has become cheaper, we don't have much confidence in Caesars Entertainment. Here are three reasons why CZR doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul. Over the last five years, Caesars Entertainment grew its sales at a 34% annual rate. Although this growth is acceptable on an absolute basis, it fell slightly short of our standards for the consumer discretionary sector, which enjoys a number of secular tailwinds.

Caesars Entertainment Quarterly Revenue

2. Mediocre Free Cash Flow Margin Limits Reinvestment Potential

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Caesars Entertainment has shown poor cash profitability over the last two years, giving the company limited opportunities to return capital to shareholders. Its free cash flow margin averaged 1.2%, lousy for a consumer discretionary business.

Caesars Entertainment Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

3. High Debt Levels Increase Risk

Debt is a tool that can boost company returns but presents risks if used irresponsibly. As long-term investors, we aim to avoid companies taking excessive advantage of this instrument because it could lead to insolvency.

Caesars Entertainment’s $24.86 billion of debt exceeds the $923 million of cash on its balance sheet. Furthermore, its 7× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio (based on its EBITDA of $3.61 billion over the last 12 months) shows the company is overleveraged.

Caesars Entertainment Net Debt Position

At this level of debt, incremental borrowing becomes increasingly expensive and credit agencies could downgrade the company’s rating if profitability falls. Caesars Entertainment could also be backed into a corner if the market turns unexpectedly – a situation we seek to avoid as investors in high-quality companies.

We hope Caesars Entertainment can improve its balance sheet and remain cautious until it increases its profitability or pays down its debt.

Final Judgment

We see the value of companies helping consumers, but in the case of Caesars Entertainment, we’re out. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 7.9× forward EV-to-EBITDA (or $24.34 per share). While this valuation is reasonable, we don’t see a big opportunity at the moment. There are superior stocks to buy right now. Let us point you toward a safe-and-steady industrials business benefiting from an upgrade cycle.

Stocks We Like More Than Caesars Entertainment

Check out the high-quality names we’ve flagged in our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that have made our list include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

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